14 Final 28 9 Final 20 7 Final 42 14 Final 51 7 Final 38 31 Final 35 45 Final 19 9 Final 56 24 Final 34 0 Final 34 20 Final 27 13 Final 16 14 Final 62 48 Final 45 0 Final 66 17 Final 45 3 Final 77 22 Final 44 10 Final 42 7 Final 55 22 Final 32 31 Final 42 0 Final 70 36 Final 27 12 Final 59 43 Final 36 13 Final 20 6 Final 45 24 Final 38 16 Final 27 30 Final 23 7 Final 31 20 Final 34 17 Final 72 27 Final 26 6 Final 28 33 Final 30 3 Final 69 17 Final 45 7 Final 31 10 Final 17 10 Final 42 18 Final 16 20 Final 38 17 Final 20 14 Final 56 21 Final 20 6 Final 54 3 Final 56 14 Final 56 9 Final 63 3 Final 35 33 Final 31 24 Final 21 21 Final 45 17 Final 21 38 Final 16 20 Final 3 7 Final 68 10 Final 38 3 Final 45 35 Final 9 28 Final 23 40 Final 42 20 Final 59 13 Final 24 0 Final 68 44 Final 20 0 Final 13 17 Final 34 7 Final 23 20 Final 24 3 Final 42 0 Final 73 23 Final 30 10 Final 34 14 Final 21 17 Final 42 3 Final 48 13 Final 36 3 Final 27 10 Final 70 20 Final 37
Week 2 • September 06, 2025, 04:00 PM UTC
Baylor @ SMU
0-1
Big 12
Power Rank: 9.3
48 FINAL 45
1-0
ACC
Power Rank: 9.9
Baylor covered by 6.5 | Game went Over by 27.5

By · Last updated

Baylor defeated SMU 48–45 in a nail-biter.

Baylor @ SMU Preview

General Information

Week: Week 2
Kick Off (at stadium): 11:00 AM CDT
Stadium: Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Capacity: 32,000
Elevation: 594 ft
HFA Rating: 3.2
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread SMU -3.5
Total (O/U) 65.5
Expected Score BAY 31.0 - 34.5 SMU
Power Rank Implied Line SMU +0.6
Prediction Markets SMU 58% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Sunny

Sunny

54.9°F

Wind Chill: 53.0°F
Wind: 8.1 mph SW
Gusts: 11.2 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 33%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Baylor (Away)

This Week: 90.3 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 90.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 11:00
Rest Days: 7

SMU (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 2949.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 11:00
Rest Days: 6

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line SMU -3.5
Total Points 65.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Baylor 9.3
SMU 9.9
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 90 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Baylor +1
HFA: Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Capacity 32,000
Elevation 594 ft
Weather: Sunny
Temperature 54.9°F
Wind Speed 8.1 mph
Your Line SMU +0.6
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for Baylor vs SMU?

Baylor: Key Factors

SMU: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Baylor travels 90 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Baylor won by 3 in a nail-biter.

Baylor covered the spread, covering the spread.

The total went Over by 27.5 points.

How do Baylor and SMU compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour SMU (9.9) over Baylor (9.3) by 0.6 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. SMU brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Baylor and SMU?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

Baylor won and Baylor covered the spread.