Week 2
Bryant-Denny Stadium

UL Monroe0 @FINAL 73Alabama , Week 2, Sep 6, 2025

1-0 Sun Belt Power rating: -19.7
0-1 SEC Power rating: 25.3

How did the line hold up?

Market line
ALA -34.5
PM Implied
ALA -22.7
Blue Chip model
ALA -48.5
Edge
+14.0ALA
See details
◂ favors ULMfavors ALA ▸Market: ALA -34.5
45.0 › ALA
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ALA
ULM
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ALA
5 ULM5 ALA10 ULM10 ALA15 ULM15 ALAModel: ALA -48.5

Betting information

Spread
ALA -34.5
Total
50.5
Odds implied score
ULM 8.0 – 42.5 ALA
Prediction markets
ALA 98% win chance (Kalshi)

ESPN Bet · as of July 8, 2026

Alabama defeated UL Monroe 73–0 in a dominant performance. Alabama covered by 38.5; Game went Over by 22.5. The market closed at Alabama -34.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Alabama -48.5 - a gap of 14.0 points toward Alabama, of which 12.7 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What are the key factors for UL Monroe vs Alabama?

UL Monroe

Overwhelming Defeat Against Top-Tier Opponent

Louisiana-Monroe suffered a 73-0 loss to No. 21 Alabama, managing only 148 total yards and committing turnovers that led to a minus-3 turnover margin. The game was essentially over after the first quarter, as Alabama scored on every possession.

Offensive Struggles and Quarterback Play

Quarterback Aidan Armenta completed 8 of 14 passes for just 28 yards with an interception, highlighting the offense's inability to move the ball or sustain drives against a dominant Alabama defense.

Financial Gain from the Game

Despite the lopsided loss, Louisiana-Monroe received a $1.9 million payout from Alabama, which will significantly support the athletic department's funding.

Upcoming Bye Week and Next Opponent

Louisiana-Monroe has a bye week before traveling to face UTEP on September 20. This extra time will be crucial for regrouping and addressing offensive and defensive issues exposed in this game.

Need for Improved Execution and Consistency

The Warhawks must focus on better ball security, offensive efficiency, and defensive discipline to compete in future games, as the performance against Alabama highlighted significant gaps in talent and execution.

What were the weather conditions for UL Monroe vs Alabama?

At kickoff, conditions at Bryant-Denny Stadium were Cloudy, 79°F with winds of 6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

UL Monroe travels 267 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Alabama won by 73 in a dominant performance.

Alabama covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 22.5 points.

How do UL Monroe and Alabama compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Alabama (25.3) over UL Monroe (-19.7) by 45.0 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Alabama brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Alabama won and Alabama covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 6, 2025 Game-time

Cloudy

79°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity55%
Wind6 mph NNE
Gusts11 mph
Wind map for UL Monroe at Alabama: aerial view of Bryant-Denny Stadium, wind from the NNE at 6 mph, gusting to 11 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 2
Kickoff (local)
06:45 PM CDT
Venue
Bryant-Denny Stadium
Capacity
100,077
Elevation
253 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Measure UL MonroeAway AlabamaHome
This week267 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game540 miles
Season total267 miles540 miles
Body clock18:4518:45
Rest9 days7 days