Week 2
Sanford Stadium

Austin Peay6 @FINAL 28Georgia , Week 2, Sep 6, 2025

0-0 UAC Power rating: -17.7
1-0 SEC Power rating: 18.4

How did the line hold up?

Market line
UGA -46.5
PM Implied
UGA -25.4
Blue Chip model
UGA -39.1
Edge
-7.4APSU
See details
◂ favors APSUfavors UGA ▸Market: UGA -46.5
36.1 › UGA
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UGA
no impact
no impact
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UGA
5 APSU5 UGAModel: UGA -39.1

Betting information

Spread
UGA -46.5
Total
56.5
Odds implied score
APSU 5.0 – 51.5 UGA
Prediction markets
UGA 99% win chance (Kalshi)

ESPN Bet · as of July 8, 2026

Georgia defeated Austin Peay 28–6 to secure a comfortable win. Austin Peay covered by 24.5; Game went Under by 22.5. The market closed at Georgia -46.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Georgia -39.1 - a gap of 7.4 points toward Austin Peay, of which 6.1 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What are the key factors for Austin Peay vs Georgia?

Austin Peay

Strong Defensive Effort Despite Loss

Myles Wiley forced a fumble and recovered another, highlighting a defense that kept the game competitive against a top-5 opponent.

Offensive Struggles Against Elite Defense

The Governors managed only 6 points, failing to score a touchdown, which underscores challenges in moving the ball against high-level competition.

Resilience and Team Mantra

The team played with pride and adhered to their 'We will' mantra, showing they can compete physically even in a lopsided loss.

Next Week's Opportunity

Hosting Morehead State provides a chance to rebound and build offensive rhythm against a more manageable opponent.

What were the weather conditions for Austin Peay vs Georgia?

At kickoff, conditions at Sanford Stadium were Thundery outbreaks possible, 87°F, heat index 91°F with winds of 12 mph. Gusts reaching 20 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Austin Peay travels 287 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Austin Peay arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Georgia won by 22 to secure a comfortable win.

Austin Peay covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 22.5 points.

How do Austin Peay and Georgia compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Georgia (18.4) over Austin Peay (-17.7) by 36.1 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Georgia brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Georgia won and Austin Peay covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 6, 2025 Game-time

Thundery outbreaks possible

87°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity53%
Wind12 mph WSW
Gusts20 mph
Heat index91°F
Wind map for Austin Peay at Georgia: aerial view of Sanford Stadium, wind from the WSW at 11.9 mph, gusting to 20.1 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 2
Kickoff (local)
03:30 PM EDT
Venue
Sanford Stadium
Capacity
93,033
Elevation
715 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Measure Austin PeayAway GeorgiaHome
This week287 miles0 miles
Last week145 milesHome game
Season total432 miles0 miles
Body clock14:3015:30
Rest7 days7 days