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Week 2 • September 06, 2025, 08:15 PM UTC
South Florida @ Florida
1-0
American
Power Rank: 10.3
18 FINAL 16
1-0
SEC
Power Rank: 11.1

By · Last updated

South Florida defeated Florida 18–16 in a nail-biter.

South Florida @ Florida Preview

General Information

Week: Week 2
Kick Off (at stadium): 04:15 PM EDT
Stadium: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Capacity: 88,548
Elevation: 98 ft
HFA Rating: 2.5
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread None
Total (O/U) -
Expected Score -
Power Rank Implied Line Florida +0.8
Prediction Markets Florida 89% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

36.3°F

Wind Chill: 33.6°F
Wind: 3.1 mph WNW
Gusts: 6.7 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 42%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

South Florida (Away)

This Week: 115.6 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 115.6 miles
Body Clock Time: 16:15
Rest Days: 9

Florida (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 0.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 16:15
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line —
Total Points —
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
South Florida 10.3
Florida 11.1
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 116 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest South Florida +2
HFA: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Capacity 88,548
Elevation 98 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 36.3°F
Wind Speed 3.1 mph
Your Line Florida +0.8
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for South Florida vs Florida?

South Florida: Key Factors

Florida: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

South Florida travels 116 miles to this game, a short road trip.

South Florida won by 2 in a nail-biter.

How do South Florida and Florida compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Florida (11.1) over South Florida (10.3) by 0.8 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Florida brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on South Florida and Florida?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

South Florida won this game.