Week 2September 06, 2025, 08:00 PM UTC
10
0-1
CUSA
Power Rank: -20.4
@
FINAL
42
1-0
Big Ten
Power Rank: 3.0

By · Last updated

Wisconsin defeated Middle Tennessee 42–10 in a dominant performance. Wisconsin covered by 3.5; Game went Over by 7.5.

General Information

Week: Week 2
Kick Off (at stadium): 03:00 PM CDT
Stadium: Camp Randall Stadium
Capacity: 76,057
Elevation: 909 ft
HFA Rating: 2.1
Playing Surface: Artificial Turf

Betting Information

Spread Wisconsin -28.5
Total (O/U) 44.5
Odds Implied Score MTSU 8.0 - 36.5 WIS
Power Rank Implied Line Wisconsin -23.4
Prediction Markets Wisconsin 97% Win Chance (Kalshi)
Middle Tennessee @ Wisconsin Preview

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Middle Tennessee
Wisconsin
Home field: Camp Randall Stadium
Weather: Overcast
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What were the weather conditions for Middle Tennessee vs Wisconsin?

At kick-off, conditions at Camp Randall Stadium were Overcast, 52.9°F, Wind Chill 50.7°F with winds of 5.8 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: September 06, 2025
Overcast

Overcast

52.9°F

Wind Chill: 50.7°F
Wind: 5.8 mph WNW
Gusts: 11.9 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 68%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Middle Tennessee (Away)

This Week: 523.8 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 523.8 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:00
Rest Days: 7

Wisconsin (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 0.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:00
Rest Days: 8

What are the key factors for Middle Tennessee vs Wisconsin?

Middle Tennessee: Key Factors

Missed Opportunities in the Red Zone

Middle Tennessee had first-and-goal at the 4-yard line on their opening drive but settled for a field goal, and later had a first-and-goal at the 11-yard line that resulted in a touchdown. These missed chances to score more points early allowed Wisconsin to stay close and eventually take control.

Costly Penalties and Mistakes

A roughing the passer penalty on Anthony Bynum on a third-and-34 incompletion extended a Wisconsin drive that led to a touchdown. Additionally, a trick play resulted in an intentional grounding penalty on wide receiver Myles Butler, forcing a punt. These self-inflicted errors hurt the team's momentum and field position.

Strong Defensive Effort Early, but Faded

Middle Tennessee outgained Wisconsin 117-42 in the first quarter and held the Badgers to just 4 yards on their first 15 rushing attempts. However, after a key fourth-down stop by Wisconsin, the Blue Raiders' defense allowed 28 unanswered points in the second half, showing a lack of stamina or adjustment.

Quarterback Nicholas Vattiato's Performance

Vattiato completed 20 of 31 passes for 197 yards with one touchdown and one interception. He showed efficiency but was unable to lead the offense to sustained success after the first quarter, especially when the game tightened in the second half.

Next Game at Nevada

Middle Tennessee travels to face Nevada next. The Blue Raiders will need to clean up their mistakes and find consistency on both sides of the ball to compete against a Nevada team that will be looking to exploit any weaknesses shown in this game.

What happened in the game?

Middle Tennessee travels 524 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Wisconsin won by 32 in a dominant performance.

Wisconsin covered the spread.

The total went Over by 7.5 points.

How do Middle Tennessee and Wisconsin compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Wisconsin (3.0) over Middle Tennessee (-20.4) by 23.4 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Wisconsin brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Wisconsin won and Wisconsin covered the spread.