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Week 2 •
War Memorial Stadium

Northern Iowa7 @FINAL 31Wyoming

0-0 MVFC Power rating: -26.8
1-0 MW Power rating: -10.8

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
WYO -13.5
PM Implied
WYO -9.3
Blue Chip model
WYO -20.7
Edge
+7.2WYO
See details
◂ favors UNIfavors WYO ▸Market: WYO -13.5
16.0 › WYO
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
WYO
WYO
WYO
WYO
UNI
5 UNI5 WYOModel: WYO -20.7

Betting information

Spread
WYO -13.5
Total
45.5
Odds implied score
UNI 16.0 – 29.5 WYO
Prediction markets
WYO 84% win chance (Kalshi)

ESPN Bet · as of July 8, 2026

Wyoming defeated Northern Iowa 31–7 to secure a comfortable win. Wyoming covered by 10.5; Game went Under by 7.5. The market closed at Wyoming -13.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Wyoming -20.7 - a gap of 7.2 points toward Wyoming, of which 5.0 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What are the key factors for Northern Iowa vs Wyoming?

Northern Iowa

Offensive Struggles Against Wyoming Defense

Northern Iowa managed only one touchdown drive (11 plays, 90 yards) and was held to 7 points overall, indicating significant difficulty moving the ball consistently against Wyoming's defense.

Special Teams Blunder Cost Momentum

A blocked punt late in the second quarter led to a Wyoming field goal just before halftime, shifting momentum and extending the deficit to 17-7 instead of a potential tie or closer game.

Limited Passing Game Production

The Panthers' passing attack failed to generate explosive plays or sustain drives, as evidenced by the lack of touchdown passes and reliance on a single scoring drive, suggesting a need for improved quarterback play or receiver separation.

Defensive Lapses in Key Moments

Northern Iowa allowed Wyoming to score on three separate touchdown drives, including a 21-yard pass in the third quarter, highlighting vulnerabilities in coverage and run defense that opponents can exploit.

What were the weather conditions for Northern Iowa vs Wyoming?

At kickoff, conditions at War Memorial Stadium were Clear, 58°F with winds of 10 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Northern Iowa travels 680 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Northern Iowa arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Wyoming won by 24 to secure a comfortable win.

Wyoming covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 7.5 points.

How do Northern Iowa and Wyoming compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Wyoming (-10.8) over Northern Iowa (-26.8) by 16.0 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Wyoming brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Northern Iowa and Wyoming?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Wyoming won and Wyoming covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 6, 2025 Game-time

Clear

58°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity51%
Wind10 mph SE
Gusts19 mph
Wind map for Northern Iowa at Wyoming: aerial view of War Memorial Stadium, wind from the SE at 10.3 mph, gusting to 19.2 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 2
Kickoff (local)
02:00 PM MDT
Venue
War Memorial Stadium
Capacity
29,811
Elevation
7,231 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Northern IowaAway WyomingHome
This week680 miles0 miles
Last weekBye week2,501 miles
Season total680 miles2,500 miles
Body clock15:0014:00
Rest7 days9 days

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