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Week 2 • September 06, 2025, 10:00 PM UTC
Missouri State @ Marshall
0-1
CUSA
Power Rank: -16.8
21 FINAL 20
0-1
Sun Belt
Power Rank: -7.7

By · Last updated

Missouri State defeated Marshall 21–20 in a nail-biter. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Marshall 9.1 points stronger on a neutral field.

Missouri State @ Marshall Preview

General Information

Week: Week 2
Kick Off (at stadium): 06:00 PM EDT
Stadium: Joan C. Edwards Stadium
Capacity: 30,475
Elevation: 554 ft
HFA Rating: 2.2
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread None
Total (O/U) -
Expected Score -
Power Rank Implied Line Marshall +9.1
Prediction Markets Marshall 76% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Moderate snow

Moderate snow

27.3°F

Wind Chill: 20.0°F
Wind: 7.2 mph SW
Gusts: 11.4 mph
Precipitation: 0.01"
Humidity: 97%
Rain Chance: 100%
Snow Chance: 100%

Travel & Rest

Missouri State (Away)

This Week: 599.7 miles
Last Week: 2841.5 miles
Season Total: 3441.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 17:00
Rest Days: 7

Marshall (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 626.2 miles
Season Total: 626.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:00
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line —
Total Points —
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Missouri State -16.8
Marshall -7.7
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 600 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Joan C. Edwards Stadium
Capacity 30,475
Elevation 554 ft
Weather: Moderate snow
Temperature 27.3°F
Wind Speed 7.2 mph
Your Line Marshall +9.1
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for Missouri State vs Marshall?

Missouri State: Key Factors

Marshall: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Missouri State travels 600 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Missouri State arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

Missouri State won by 1 in a nail-biter.

Does weather affect this game at Joan C. Edwards Stadium?

At 27.3°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Precipitation chance is 100%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Missouri State and Marshall compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Marshall (-7.7) over Missouri State (-16.8) by 9.1 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Marshall brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Missouri State and Marshall?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

Missouri State won this game.