14 Final 28 9 Final 20 7 Final 42 14 Final 51 7 Final 38 31 Final 35 45 Final 19 9 Final 56 24 Final 34 0 Final 34 20 Final 27 13 Final 16 14 Final 62 48 Final 45 0 Final 66 17 Final 45 3 Final 77 22 Final 44 10 Final 42 7 Final 55 22 Final 32 31 Final 42 0 Final 70 36 Final 27 12 Final 59 43 Final 36 13 Final 20 6 Final 45 24 Final 38 16 Final 27 30 Final 23 7 Final 31 20 Final 34 17 Final 72 27 Final 26 6 Final 28 33 Final 30 3 Final 69 17 Final 45 7 Final 31 10 Final 17 10 Final 42 18 Final 16 20 Final 38 17 Final 20 14 Final 56 21 Final 20 6 Final 54 3 Final 56 14 Final 56 9 Final 63 3 Final 35 33 Final 31 24 Final 21 21 Final 45 17 Final 21 38 Final 16 20 Final 3 7 Final 68 10 Final 38 3 Final 45 35 Final 9 28 Final 23 40 Final 42 20 Final 59 13 Final 24 0 Final 68 44 Final 20 0 Final 13 17 Final 34 7 Final 23 20 Final 24 3 Final 42 0 Final 73 23 Final 30 10 Final 34 14 Final 21 17 Final 42 3 Final 48 13 Final 36 3 Final 27 10 Final 70 20 Final 37
Week 2 • September 06, 2025, 07:30 PM UTC
Texas State @ UTSA
1-0
Sun Belt
Power Rank: -6.5
43 FINAL 36
0-1
American
Power Rank: -3.0

By · Last updated

Texas State defeated UTSA 43–36 in a one-score game. Blue Chip Analytics had rated UTSA 3.5 points stronger on a neutral field.

Texas State @ UTSA Preview

General Information

Week: Week 2
Kick Off (at stadium): 02:30 PM CDT
Stadium: Alamodome
Capacity: 64,000
Elevation: 738 ft
HFA Rating: 2.9
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread None
Total (O/U) -
Expected Score -
Power Rank Implied Line UTSA +3.5
Prediction Markets UTSA 64% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Venue: Indoor · Climate Controlled

Indoor Game

~72°F

Venue: Alamodome
Wind: 0 mph
Gusts: 0 mph
Precipitation: 0"
Humidity: Controlled
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Texas State (Away)

This Week: 46.7 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 46.7 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:30
Rest Days: 6

UTSA (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 304.5 miles
Season Total: 304.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:30
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line —
Total Points —
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Texas State -6.5
UTSA -3.0
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 47 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest UTSA +1
HFA: Alamodome
Capacity 64,000
Elevation 738 ft
Weather: Cloudy
Temperature 49.8°F
Wind Speed 7.2 mph
Your Line UTSA +3.5
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for Texas State vs UTSA?

Texas State: Key Factors

UTSA: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Texas State travels 47 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Texas State won by 7 in a one-score game.

How do Texas State and UTSA compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour UTSA (-3.0) over Texas State (-6.5) by 3.5 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. UTSA brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Texas State and UTSA?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

Texas State won this game.