Week 2
Rice-Eccles Stadium

Cal Poly9 @FINAL 63Utah , Week 2, Sep 6, 2025

0-0 Big Sky Power rating: -28.0
1-0 Big 12 Power rating: 20.1

How did the line hold up?

Market line
UTAH -42.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
UTAH -52.1
Edge
+9.6UTAH
See details
◂ favors CPfavors UTAH ▸Market: UTAH -42.5
48.1 › UTAH
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5 CP5 UTAH10 CP10 UTAHModel: UTAH -52.1

Betting information

Spread
UTAH -42.5
Total
52.5
Odds implied score
CP 5.0 – 47.5 UTAH

ESPN Bet · as of July 8, 2026

Utah defeated Cal Poly 63–9 in a dominant performance. Utah covered by 11.5; Game went Over by 19.5. The market closed at Utah -42.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Utah -52.1 - a gap of 9.6 points toward Utah, of which 8.3 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What are the key factors for Cal Poly vs Utah?

Cal Poly

Overmatched at nearly every position

Cal Poly used three quarterbacks and moved the ball at times, but were clearly outclassed by Utah's defense and offense, resulting in a 63-9 blowout loss.

Turnover issues persist

The Mustangs threw a pick-six to Jackson Bennee, continuing a defensive scoring streak for Utah, and struggled to sustain drives against a stout Utes defense.

Special teams bright spot

Cal Poly managed two field goals from Noah Serna and one from Gianluca Dimauro, showing some reliability in the kicking game despite the lopsided score.

Next opponent: Western Oregon

Cal Poly hosts Western Oregon next Saturday, a more evenly matched FCS opponent where they can look to rebound and correct offensive and defensive deficiencies.

What were the weather conditions for Cal Poly vs Utah?

At kickoff, conditions at Rice-Eccles Stadium were Clear, 69°F with winds of 6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Cal Poly travels 610 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Cal Poly arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Utah won by 54 in a dominant performance.

Utah covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 19.5 points.

How do Cal Poly and Utah compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Utah (20.1) over Cal Poly (-28.0) by 48.1 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Utah brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Utah won and Utah covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 6, 2025 Game-time

Clear

69°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity52%
Wind6 mph E
Gusts12 mph
Wind map for Cal Poly at Utah: aerial view of Rice-Eccles Stadium, wind from the E at 6 mph, gusting to 11.6 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 2
Kickoff (local)
04:00 PM MDT
Venue
Rice-Eccles Stadium
Capacity
51,444
Elevation
4,656 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure Cal PolyAway UtahHome
This week610 miles0 miles
Last weekBye week1,144 miles
Season total610 miles1,144 miles
Body clock15:0016:00
Rest6 days6 days