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Week 2 •
University Stadium (NM)

Idaho State22 @FINAL 32New Mexico

0-0 Big Sky Power rating: -20.4
0-1 MW Power rating: -6.0

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
UNM -17.5
PM Implied
UNM -11.4
Blue Chip model
UNM -15.3
Edge
-2.2IDST
See details
◂ favors IDSTfavors UNM ▸Market: UNM -17.5
14.4 › UNM
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
UNM
no impact
no impact
no impact
IDST
1 IDST1 UNM2 IDST2 UNMModel: UNM -15.3

Betting information

Spread
UNM -17.5
Total
60.5
Odds implied score
IDST 21.5 – 39.0 UNM
Prediction markets
UNM 87% win chance (Kalshi)

ESPN Bet · as of July 8, 2026

New Mexico defeated Idaho State 32–22 in a double-digit victory. Idaho State covered by 7.5; Game went Under by 6.5. The market closed at New Mexico -17.5 and the Blue Chip model made it New Mexico -15.3, an edge of 2.2 points toward Idaho State.

What were the weather conditions for Idaho State vs New Mexico?

At kickoff, conditions at University Stadium (NM) were Overcast, 70°F with winds of 15 mph. Gusts reaching 20 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Idaho State travels 622 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

New Mexico won by 10 in a double-digit victory.

Idaho State covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 6.5 points.

How do Idaho State and New Mexico compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor New Mexico (-6.0) over Idaho State (-20.4) by 14.4 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. New Mexico brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Idaho State and New Mexico?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

New Mexico won and Idaho State covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 6, 2025 Game-time

Overcast

70°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity64%
Wind15 mph WSW
Gusts20 mph
Wind map for Idaho State at New Mexico: aerial view of University Stadium (NM), wind from the WSW at 15 mph, gusting to 20.4 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 2
Kickoff (local)
01:00 PM MDT
Venue
University Stadium (NM)
Capacity
39,224
Elevation
5,121 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Idaho StateAway New MexicoHome
This week622 miles0 miles
Last weekBye week2,656 miles
Season total1,602 miles2,656 miles
Body clock13:0013:00
Rest6 days7 days

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