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Week 2 •
FBC Mortgage Stadium

North Carolina A&T7 @FINAL 68UCF

0-0 CAA Power rating: -32.8
1-0 Big 12 Power rating: 5.7

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
UCF -37.0
PM Implied
UCF -19.1
Blue Chip model
UCF -42.3
Edge
+5.3UCF
See details
◂ favors NCATfavors UCF ▸Market: UCF -37.0
38.5 › UCF
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
UCF
UCF
no impact
no impact
UCF
2 NCAT2 UCF4 NCAT4 UCF6 NCAT6 UCFModel: UCF -42.3

Betting information

Spread
UCF -37.0
Total
51.5
Odds implied score
NCAT 7.3 – 44.3 UCF
Prediction markets
UCF 95% win chance (Kalshi)

ESPN Bet · as of July 8, 2026

UCF defeated North Carolina A&T 68–7 in a dominant performance. UCF covered by 24.0; Game went Over by 23.5. The market closed at UCF -37.0 and the Blue Chip model made it UCF -42.3 - a gap of 5.3 points toward UCF, of which 4.0 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for North Carolina A&T vs UCF?

At kickoff, conditions at FBC Mortgage Stadium were Overcast, 80°F, heat index 87°F with winds of 4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

North Carolina A&T travels 522 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

UCF won by 61 in a dominant performance.

UCF covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 23.5 points.

How do North Carolina A&T and UCF compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor UCF (5.7) over North Carolina A&T (-32.8) by 38.5 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. UCF brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on North Carolina A&T and UCF?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

UCF won and UCF covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 6, 2025 Game-time

Overcast

80°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity84%
Wind4 mph SSE
Gusts8 mph
Heat index87°F
Wind map for North Carolina A&T at UCF: aerial view of FBC Mortgage Stadium, wind from the SSE at 4 mph, gusting to 7.6 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 2
Kickoff (local)
07:00 PM EDT
Venue
FBC Mortgage Stadium
Capacity
44,206
Elevation
75 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

North Carolina A&TAway UCFHome
This week522 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekHome game
Season total522 miles0 miles
Body clock19:0019:00
Rest7 days9 days

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