Week 12 • November 15, 2025, 05:00 PM UTC
4-5
American
Power Rank: 1.0
28 FINAL 7
1-8
American
Power Rank: -18.4
UTSA covered by 3.5 | Game went Under by 25.5
UTSA @ Charlotte Preview

General Information

Week: Week 12
Kick Off (at stadium): 12:00 PM EST
Stadium: Jerry Richardson Stadium
Capacity: 15,314
Elevation: 643 ft
HFA Rating: 1.7
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread UTSA -17.5
Total (O/U) 60.5
Expected Score UTSA 39.0 - 21.5 COLLE
Power Rank Implied Line UTSA +19.4
Prediction Markets UTSA 89% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Mist

Mist

31.5°F

Wind Chill: 26.0°F
Wind: 6.0 mph SSW
Gusts: 9.6 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 91%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

UTSA (Away)

This Week: 1112.0 miles
Last Week: 1948.7 miles
Season Total: 8629.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 11:00
Rest Days: 9

Charlotte (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 382.8 miles
Season Total: 3865.7 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:00
Rest Days: 7

⚡ Line Value Calculator

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Betting Information
Current Line UTSA -17.5
Total Points 60.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
UTSA 1.0
Charlotte -18.4
✈️ Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 1112 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest UTSA +2
🏟️ HFA: Jerry Richardson Stadium
Capacity 15,314
Elevation 643 ft
🌤️ Weather: Mist
Temperature 31.5°F
Wind Speed 6.0 mph
Your Line Charlotte -19.4
💰 Implied Value --

College Football Lines - Factors and Insights

UTSA

Defensive Struggles Against Explosive Plays

UTSA's defense allowed Texas A&M to generate big plays through the air and on special teams, including a punt return touchdown and multiple long passing touchdowns. The Aggies' offense consistently found ways to extend drives and score quickly, which kept UTSA from mounting a sustained comeback.

Robert Henry Jr.'s Breakout Performance

Running back Robert Henry Jr. was a bright spot, rushing for 177 yards and two touchdowns on 16 carries, including a 75-yard score to open the second half. His explosive running kept UTSA competitive and highlighted the Roadrunners' ability to move the ball on the ground against a Power 5 defense.

Inability to Sustain Momentum After Halftime

After cutting the deficit to 21-17 early in the third quarter, UTSA allowed Texas A&M to score on back-to-back drives, extending the lead to 35-17. The Roadrunners couldn't capitalize on their momentum swing, and the Aggies' quick responses effectively put the game out of reach.

Competitive Effort Against Ranked Opponent

Head coach Jeff Traylor praised his team's effort, noting they played about as well as they could against a top-25 team. Despite the loss, UTSA showed resilience and offensive firepower, which could build confidence as they face a more evenly matched opponent in Texas State next week.

Key Matchup Ahead vs. Texas State

UTSA returns home to face Texas State, a Sun Belt opponent that also presents a challenging matchup. The Roadrunners will need to tighten their defense, particularly against explosive plays, while continuing to lean on Henry's rushing attack to secure a bounce-back victory in their home opener.

Charlotte

Offensive struggles continue across all phases

Charlotte managed only 271 total yards and struggled in every offensive facet, including pass protection and run blocking. The 49ers averaged just 0.7 yards per carry (21 yards on 29 carries), indicating serious issues with their ground game that will need addressing before facing Monmouth.

Critical red zone execution failure

The 49ers had a golden opportunity to make the game competitive in the third quarter but failed to convert on fourth-and-6 in the end zone when receiver E. Jai Mason dropped a catchable pass. This type of missed opportunity in crucial moments could be costly against future opponents.

Quarterback play remains inconsistent

Conner Harrell completed 17 of 29 passes for only 140 yards, showing limited ability to generate explosive plays through the air. His reaction to the dropped touchdown pass demonstrated the frustration with missed opportunities that the offense continues to face.

Lack of offensive playmakers evident

Charlotte appears to lack a true game-breaking offensive weapon, as evidenced by their inability to generate big plays or sustain drives consistently. This deficiency will make it difficult to keep pace with opponents and puts additional pressure on their defense.

Defensive effort shows some positives despite loss

While Charlotte lost 20-3, they held North Carolina to a relatively modest offensive output and kept the game from becoming a blowout. The defense will need to continue this level of play while the offense works to find its identity against Monmouth.