Week 11 • November 07, 2025, 12:30 AM UTC
4-4
American
Power Rank: 2.2
23 FINAL 55
6-2
American
Power Rank: 13.3
South Florida covered by 18.5 | Game went Over by 17.5
UTSA @ South Florida Preview

General Information

Week: Week 11
Kick Off (at stadium): 07:30 PM EST
Stadium: Raymond James Stadium
Capacity: 69,218
Elevation: 72 ft
HFA Rating: 2.4
Playing Surface: Unknown

Betting Information

Spread South Florida -13.5
Total (O/U) 60.5
Expected Score UTSA 23.5 - 37.0 USF
Power Rank Implied Line South Florida +11.1
Prediction Markets South Florida 84% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

38.4°F

Wind Chill: 31.3°F
Wind: 10.5 mph NNE
Gusts: 15.7 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 40%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

UTSA (Away)

This Week: 974.4 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 6543.1 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:30
Rest Days: 8

South Florida (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 3833.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:30
Rest Days: 13

⚡ Line Value Calculator

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Betting Information
Current Line South Florida -13.5
Total Points 60.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
UTSA 2.2
South Florida 13.3
✈️ Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 974 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest South Florida +5
🏟️ HFA: Raymond James Stadium
Capacity 69,218
Elevation 72 ft
🌤️ Weather: Clear
Temperature 38.4°F
Wind Speed 10.5 mph
Your Line South Florida +11.1
💰 Implied Value --

College Football Lines - Factors and Insights

UTSA

Defensive Struggles Against Explosive Plays

UTSA's defense allowed Texas A&M to generate big plays through the air and on special teams, including a punt return touchdown and multiple long passing touchdowns. The Aggies' offense consistently found ways to extend drives and score quickly, which kept UTSA from mounting a sustained comeback.

Robert Henry Jr.'s Breakout Performance

Running back Robert Henry Jr. was a bright spot, rushing for 177 yards and two touchdowns on 16 carries, including a 75-yard score to open the second half. His explosive running kept UTSA competitive and highlighted the Roadrunners' ability to move the ball on the ground against a Power 5 defense.

Inability to Sustain Momentum After Halftime

After cutting the deficit to 21-17 early in the third quarter, UTSA allowed Texas A&M to score on back-to-back drives, extending the lead to 35-17. The Roadrunners couldn't capitalize on their momentum swing, and the Aggies' quick responses effectively put the game out of reach.

Competitive Effort Against Ranked Opponent

Head coach Jeff Traylor praised his team's effort, noting they played about as well as they could against a top-25 team. Despite the loss, UTSA showed resilience and offensive firepower, which could build confidence as they face a more evenly matched opponent in Texas State next week.

Key Matchup Ahead vs. Texas State

UTSA returns home to face Texas State, a Sun Belt opponent that also presents a challenging matchup. The Roadrunners will need to tighten their defense, particularly against explosive plays, while continuing to lean on Henry's rushing attack to secure a bounce-back victory in their home opener.