Week 10 • October 30, 2025, 11:30 PM UTC
6-1
American
Power Rank: 4.1
26 FINAL 48
3-4
American
Power Rank: 1.7
UTSA covered by 26.5 | Game went Over by 18.5
Tulane @ UTSA Preview

General Information

Week: Week 10
Kick Off (at stadium): 06:30 PM CDT
Stadium: Alamodome
Capacity: 64,000
Elevation: 738 ft
HFA Rating: 2.9
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Tulane -4.5
Total (O/U) 55.5
Expected Score TULN 30.0 - 25.5 UTSA
Power Rank Implied Line Tulane +2.4
Prediction Markets Tulane 69% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Cloudy

Cloudy

48.5°F

Wind Chill: 46.7°F
Wind: 4.5 mph SSW
Gusts: 6.5 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 70%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Tulane (Away)

This Week: 504.2 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 2458.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:30
Rest Days: 12

UTSA (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 5568.7 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:30
Rest Days: 12

⚡ Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Tulane -4.5
Total Points 55.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Tulane 4.1
UTSA 1.7
✈️ Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 504 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
🏟️ HFA: Alamodome
Capacity 64,000
Elevation 738 ft
🌤️ Weather: Cloudy
Temperature 48.5°F
Wind Speed 4.5 mph
Your Line UTSA -2.4
💰 Implied Value --

College Football Lines - Factors and Insights

Tulane

Retzlaff's Dynamic Debut

Transfer QB Jake Retzlaff immediately energized the offense, accounting for 265 total yards (152 passing, 113 rushing) and 2 TDs in his first game. Despite six drops by receivers, his dual-threat ability and poise set a positive tone, though the passing game needs more consistency.

Dominant Defensive Performance

The defense forced five turnovers (4 INTs, 1 fumble) and held Northwestern to just 3 points. The secondary, led by Javion White's two interceptions, capitalized on Preston Stone's mistakes, and the front limited Northwestern to 76 net rushing yards, setting up short fields for the offense.

Emotional and Physical Edge

Coach Sumrall used perceived disrespect from Northwestern over uniforms to fuel a 'play for the city' mentality, connecting to the 2005 Katrina team. Combined with oppressive heat/humidity that wore down the Wildcats, Tulane leveraged home-field advantage for a physical, emotional win.

Ground Game Success

Tulane rushed for 268 yards, with Retzlaff's 69-yard TD run highlighting a attack that wore down Northwestern as the game progressed. This established offensive balance and controlled tempo, a strength to build on.

Areas for Improvement

Six dropped passes, including two in the end zone, limited scoring opportunities and kept the game closer than it could have been. Cleaning up receiver execution will be critical against tougher opponents like South Alabama next week.

UTSA

Defensive Struggles Against Explosive Plays

UTSA's defense allowed Texas A&M to generate big plays through the air and on special teams, including a punt return touchdown and multiple long passing touchdowns. The Aggies' offense consistently found ways to extend drives and score quickly, which kept UTSA from mounting a sustained comeback.

Robert Henry Jr.'s Breakout Performance

Running back Robert Henry Jr. was a bright spot, rushing for 177 yards and two touchdowns on 16 carries, including a 75-yard score to open the second half. His explosive running kept UTSA competitive and highlighted the Roadrunners' ability to move the ball on the ground against a Power 5 defense.

Inability to Sustain Momentum After Halftime

After cutting the deficit to 21-17 early in the third quarter, UTSA allowed Texas A&M to score on back-to-back drives, extending the lead to 35-17. The Roadrunners couldn't capitalize on their momentum swing, and the Aggies' quick responses effectively put the game out of reach.

Competitive Effort Against Ranked Opponent

Head coach Jeff Traylor praised his team's effort, noting they played about as well as they could against a top-25 team. Despite the loss, UTSA showed resilience and offensive firepower, which could build confidence as they face a more evenly matched opponent in Texas State next week.

Key Matchup Ahead vs. Texas State

UTSA returns home to face Texas State, a Sun Belt opponent that also presents a challenging matchup. The Roadrunners will need to tighten their defense, particularly against explosive plays, while continuing to lean on Henry's rushing attack to secure a bounce-back victory in their home opener.