Rate Bowl
Chase FieldNeutral siteIndoor

New Mexico17 @FINAL 20Minnesota , Postseason, Dec 26, 2025

9-3 MW Power rating: -2.1
7-5 Big Ten Power rating: 6.8

How did the line hold up?

Market line
MINN -1.5
PM Implied
MINN -0.6
Blue Chip model
MINN -8.9
Edge
+7.4MINN
See details
◂ favors UNMfavors MINN ▸Market: MINN -1.5
8.9 › MINN
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5 UNM5 MINNModel: MINN -8.9

Betting information

Spread
MINN -1.5
Total
44.5
Odds implied score
UNM 21.5 – 23.0 MINN
Prediction markets
MINN 53% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Minnesota defeated New Mexico 20–17 in a nail-biter. Minnesota covered by 1.5; Game went Under by 7.5. The market closed at Minnesota -1.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Minnesota -8.9 - a gap of 7.4 points toward Minnesota, of which 7.4 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for New Mexico vs Minnesota?

This game was played indoors at Chase Field in a climate-controlled environment. Weather was not a factor.

What happened in the game?

New Mexico travels 331 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Minnesota won by 3 in a nail-biter.

Minnesota covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Under by 7.5 points.

How do New Mexico and Minnesota compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Minnesota (6.8) over New Mexico (-2.1) by 8.9 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Neither team has a home-field advantage here, so the neutral-field differential above is already the venue-adjusted read.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Minnesota won and Minnesota covered the spread.

Conditions

Indoor, climate controlled

~72°F

Chase Field is a domed venue. Wind, precipitation and temperature are not factors in this game.

Wind map for New Mexico at Minnesota: aerial view of Chase Field

Quick facts

Week
Postseason
Kickoff (local)
02:30 PM MST
Venue
Chase Field
Capacity
48,330
Elevation
1,060 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure New MexicoAway MinnesotaHome
This week331 miles1,281 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total9,146 miles9,801 miles
Body clock14:3015:30
Rest28 days27 days