Boston College Eagles

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Boston College Eagles is 4-3 on the season, 5-2 against the spread, and holds a power rating of -3.3. Boston College Eagles carries one of the heaviest travel loads in the FBS, ranked 20th with 11,656 miles travelled this season, a meaningful fatigue factor for away games. The Boston College Eagles head to Duke next in Week 9.

Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference
Stadium: Alumni Stadium, Chestnut Hill, MA
Power Rating (most current): -3.3
HFA Rating:2.4 pts
2026 Win Total:3.5
2026 Record: 4-3
2026 ATS: 5-2
2026 O/U: 2-5

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 8 of 2026 the Boston College Eagles Power Rating of -3.3 is 3.3 points below the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Boston College Eagles have logged 6,414 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 11,656 miles, ranking 20th heaviest in the FBS.

Boston College Eagles Coaching Staff and Key Players

Head coachBill O’Brien
Tenure2 seasons
Record at school9-16
Career record24-25 (4 seasons)
Offensive coordinatorBill O’Brien
Defensive coordinatorTed Roof

Offense

Mason McKenzie QB, Evan Dickens RB, Kaelan Chudzinski TE

Defense

KP Price S, Kris Jones EDGE, Demetrius Ballard EDGE, Bodie Kahoun LB, Anthony Palano LB, Justin Medlock LB, TJ Green CB, Isaiah Farris S

Special teams

Luca Lombardo K, Bryce LaFollette P

2025 Season in Review

Record2-10 ATS6-6 O/U8-4
Running totals after each week played. Cumulative, not per week.
AfterRecordATSO/U
Week 11-01-01-0
Week 21-12-02-0
Week 31-22-13-0
Week 51-32-23-1
Week 61-42-34-1
Week 71-52-44-2
Week 81-62-55-2
Week 91-73-56-2
Week 101-84-56-3
Week 111-94-67-3
Week 121-105-68-3
Week 142-106-68-4

A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.

2026 Power Rating Trajectory

Opened -5.7 in the preseason and finished -3.3 after week 8, a move of +2.4 points. High -3.3 (week 8), low -6.4 (week 2).

Line chart of the 2026 Blue Chip Analytics power rating across 10 points, from -5.7 to -3.3.

PreW8

Boston College Eagles SP+ Profile

Offence+25.467 of 138higher is better
Defence+27.479 of 138lower is better
Special teams+0.524 of 138higher is better

SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.

How Confident Is This Rating?

Sources blended5
Source spread±3.8 pts
HFA measured+2.1 pts
HFA applied+2.4 pts

Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.

The measured and applied home field advantage agree to within 0.3 points here, so smoothing changes little for this venue.

Record Against 2026 Opponents

Regular and postseason meetings, 2016–2025. Over/under history begins in 2017 and 2020 was shortened by COVID, so game counts vary.
OpponentMetRecordATS
Cincinnati10-10-1
Rutgers21-11-1
Maine11-00-1
Virginia Tech93-64-5
SMU31-22-1
Pittsburgh53-23-2
Georgia Tech53-24-0-1
Duke21-12-0
Florida State82-63-5
Notre Dame50-51-4
Syracuse106-46-4
Miami21-11-1

Home, Road and Neutral, 2016–2025

At home32-3230-33-1 ATS · 64 games
On the road23-3029-24 ATS · 53 games
Neutral site3-43-3-1 ATS · 7 games

2026 Season Travel Profile

11,656 miles - ranked 20th heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Cumulative travel of 11,656 round-trip miles across the 2026 season.

Week 011,656 mi total

Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0-Bye
Week 1Cincinnati734 mi1,468 mi
Week 2RutgersHome1,468 mi
Week 3MaineHome1,468 mi
Week 4Virginia TechHome1,468 mi
Week 5SMU1,543 mi4,553 mi
Week 6-Bye
Week 7PittsburghHome4,553 mi
Week 8Georgia Tech930 mi6,414 mi
Week 9Duke604 mi7,622 mi
Week 10Florida StateHome7,622 mi
Week 11Notre Dame776 mi9,174 mi
Week 12SyracuseHome9,174 mi
Week 13Miami1,241 mi11,656 mi
Week 14-Bye
Week 15-Bye
Week 16-Bye
Postseason-Bye

Boston College Eagles Season Outlook

Transfer-heavy roster still finding its footing

Boston College entered 2026 with a nearly complete overhaul: 28 transfers arrived and 30 players departed, and Bill O'Brien replaced 75% of his positional staff. The early returns have been mixed. The Eagles are 3-3 overall and 1-2 in the ACC, with a point differential of minus-27. The offense has shown flashes, particularly when Mason McKenzie extends plays, but consistency has been elusive. The defense, under new coordinator Ted Roof, has forced turnovers but has also been gashed on the ground. With the season halfway gone, the Eagles are still searching for an identity.

Mason McKenzie is the engine, but the offense is one-dimensional

McKenzie, a transfer from Saginaw Valley State, leads the team in rushing and has accounted for 11 total touchdowns (7 passing, 4 rushing). His 78-yard touchdown pass to Dawson Pough against Rutgers and his 138-yard rushing effort against Virginia Tech highlight his dual-threat ability. However, the offense has struggled to sustain drives when opponents contain him. The Eagles rank near the bottom of the ACC in passing yards per game, and outside of Pough and tight end Kaelan Chudzinski, there are few proven playmakers at receiver. The offensive line, rebuilt with six transfers, has allowed 16 sacks and has yet to jell consistently.

Defense creates takeaways but remains vulnerable against the run

Ted Roof's defense has been opportunistic, intercepting four passes against Rutgers and adding two more against Maine. Safety KP Price and linebacker Anthony Palano have been playmakers in the secondary. However, the run defense has been a glaring weakness. Cincinnati rushed for 255 yards in the opener, and Virginia Tech's Jeffrey Overton Jr. gashed the Eagles for 209 yards, including a 76-yard game-winning touchdown. The return of linebacker Bodie Kahoun from a frightening injury against Rutgers provides a boost, but depth remains a concern. The Eagles must tighten their run fits to keep games within reach.

Special teams and kicking game provide a steady edge

Kicker Luca Lombardo remains one of the ACC's most reliable, connecting on 10 of 12 field goals this season after a near-perfect 2025. Punter Bryce LaFollette has helped flip field position, and returners TJ Green and Isaiah Farris give the Eagles hidden yardage. In a season where margins are thin, these specialists have kept BC competitive in low-scoring games. The coverage units have also been solid, though a blocked punt against Pittsburgh led to a safety. Overall, special teams have been a net positive.

Resilience is real, but the schedule offers chances to climb

BC has shown resilience, erasing a 12-0 deficit to beat Pittsburgh 27-21 and holding off Rutgers after a slow start. The Eagles have covered the spread in four of six games, often as underdogs. With games remaining against Georgia Tech, Syracuse, and others, there are winnable matchups. However, the offense must find more consistency and the run defense must improve for BC to reach bowl eligibility. The bye week came at a good time, and the return of Kahoun and a healthier McKenzie could spark a late push. The pieces are there for a strong finish, but the margin for error remains slim.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Boston College Eagles's against-the-spread record in 2026?

Boston College Eagles is 5-2 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 71% of games.

What is Boston College Eagles's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

Boston College Eagles holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of -3.3, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is Boston College Eagles's home field advantage rating?

Boston College Eagles's home field advantage rating is 2.4 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

What is Boston College Eagles's 2026 win total?

Boston College Eagles's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 3.5 wins, priced at -105 over and -125 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.

How many miles does Boston College Eagles travel in 2026?

Boston College Eagles travels 11,656 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 20th heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

Boston College Eagles: 4-3 overall, 5-2 ATS, power rating -3.3 (2026 records).