Syracuse Orange is 1-0 on the season, 1-0 against the spread, and holds a power rating of -3.6. Syracuse Orange enters the season with a power rating of -3.6, placing them below average relative to the FBS midpoint. The Syracuse Orange host California next in Week 2. In 2025, Syracuse Orange went 3-9 overall, 4-8 against the spread, and 6-6 on totals.
In Week 1 of 2026 the Syracuse Orange Power Rating of -3.6 is 3.6 points below the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Syracuse Orange have logged 0 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 4,255 miles, ranking 114th heaviest in the FBS.
Steve Angeli QB, Ju'Juan Johnson RB, Cole Weaver WR, David Ndukwe OL, Amari Odom QB, Malachi Nelson QB
Dillan Fontus DL, Keyshawn Johnson DL, Tunmise Adeleye EDGE, Chris D'Appolonia LB, Antoine Deslauriers LB
Tripp Woody K, Jimmy Gregg P
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Week 2 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Week 3 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Week 4 | 3-1 | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| Week 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Week 6 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 3-3 |
| Week 8 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 3-4 |
| Week 9 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 4-4 |
| Week 10 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 4-5 |
| Week 11 | 3-7 | 4-6 | 5-5 |
| Week 13 | 3-8 | 4-7 | 6-5 |
| Week 14 | 3-9 | 4-8 | 6-6 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened -4.9 in the preseason and finished -0.3 after the postseason, a move of +4.6 points. High -0.3 (the postseason), low -6.8 (week 0).
PrePost
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured and applied home field advantage agree to within 0.1 points here, so smoothing changes little for this venue.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| California | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Pittsburgh | 10 | 2-8 | 3-6-1 |
| UConn | 5 | 5-0 | 2-2-1 |
| Virginia | 1 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Louisville | 7 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| North Carolina | 4 | 1-3 | 0-4 |
| SMU | 1 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Clemson | 9 | 2-7 | 6-3 |
| NC State | 8 | 3-5 | 5-3 |
| Boston College | 10 | 4-6 | 4-6 |
| Notre Dame | 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
No meeting on record since 2016: New Hampshire.
Week 04,255 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | New Hampshire | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 2 | California | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 3 | Pittsburgh | 269 mi | 537 mi |
| Week 4 | - | Bye | |
| Week 5 | UConn | 200 mi | 938 mi |
| Week 6 | Virginia | 367 mi | 1,672 mi |
| Week 7 | Louisville | Home | 1,672 mi |
| Week 8 | North Carolina | 516 mi | 2,704 mi |
| Week 9 | SMU | Home | 2,704 mi |
| Week 10 | Clemson | Home | 2,704 mi |
| Week 11 | NC State | 518 mi | 3,740 mi |
| Week 12 | Boston College | 258 mi | 4,255 mi |
| Week 13 | Notre Dame | Home | 4,255 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
Steve Angeli's return from a torn Achilles is the single biggest factor in Syracuse's 2026 outlook. He was leading the nation in passing yards (1,317) when he went down in 2025, and the Orange went 3-9 without him, never scoring more than 18 points in any of the eight losses. He was limited in spring practice but is expected to be ready for fall camp. Behind him, the backup situation is unproven, with transfers Amari Odom (Kennesaw State) and Malachi Nelson (UTEP) competing for the No. 2 role. If Angeli stays upright, the offense has a chance to be dangerous; if he goes down again, the season could spiral quickly.
Syracuse's run defense was among the worst in the country last year, allowing 5.3 yards per carry, which ranked 132nd out of 136 FBS teams. New defensive coordinator Vince Kehres inherits a reloaded front with three key transfers: Dillan Fontus (Maryland), Keyshawn Johnson (UT-Martin), and Tunmise Adeleye (UNLV). The scheme is expected to mix 4-3 and 3-4 looks, but the key will be execution in run fits and communication on the back end. Interior linebackers Chris D'Appolonia and Antoine Deslauriers will be responsible for getting everyone aligned, while the corners are likely to be asked to play heavy man coverage.
Placekicker Tripp Woody returns after a strong 2025 season, making 12 of 14 field goals, including all 10 attempts from inside 40 yards. That reliability is a comfort in close games. However, the Orange must replace standout punter Jack Stonehouse, and they are hoping highly touted prospect Jimmy Gregg can step in and provide similar consistency. If Gregg struggles, field position could become a hidden weakness.
Syracuse opens the season at home against New Hampshire, a game where they are heavy favorites (line -33.5, 98% win probability). This is a chance to get Angeli and the new skill players comfortable in a live game before the ACC slate begins. The season travel is relatively light at 3,424 miles, which could help with recovery and preparation. The key will be whether the Orange can use this early stretch to build confidence and establish an identity on both sides of the ball, especially with a new defensive system and so many new faces on offense.
Syracuse Orange is 1-0 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 100% of games.
Syracuse Orange holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of -3.6, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Syracuse Orange's home field advantage rating is 2.5 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Syracuse Orange's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 4.5 wins, priced at -115 over and -115 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
Syracuse Orange travels 4,255 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 114th heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Syracuse Orange: 1-0 overall, 1-0 ATS, power rating -3.6 (2026 records).
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