Syracuse Orange

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Syracuse Orange is 2-4 on the season, 3-3 against the spread, and holds a power rating of -2.1. Syracuse Orange is covering at just 39% since the start of last season (7-11), below the FBS average, a notable trend for spread bettors. The Syracuse Orange head to North Carolina next in Week 8.

Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference
Stadium: JMA Wireless Dome, Syracuse, NY
Power Rating (most current): -2.1
HFA Rating:2.5 pts
2026 Win Total:4.5
2026 Record: 2-4
2026 ATS: 3-3
2026 O/U: 4-2

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 7 of 2026 the Syracuse Orange Power Rating of -2.1 is 2.1 points below the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Syracuse Orange have logged 1,672 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 4,255 miles, ranking 114th heaviest in the FBS.

Syracuse Orange Coaching Staff and Key Players

Head coachFran Brown
Tenure2 seasons
Record13-12
Offensive coordinatorJeff Nixon
Defensive coordinatorsVince Kehres, John Scott Jr.

Offense

Steve Angeli QB, Ju'Juan Johnson RB, Cole Weaver WR, David Ndukwe OL, Amari Odom QB, Malachi Nelson QB

Defense

Dillan Fontus DL, Keyshawn Johnson DL, Tunmise Adeleye EDGE, Chris D'Appolonia LB, Antoine Deslauriers LB

Special teams

Tripp Woody K, Jimmy Gregg P

2025 Season in Review

Record3-9 ATS4-8 O/U6-6
Running totals after each week played. Cumulative, not per week.
AfterRecordATSO/U
Week 10-10-11-0
Week 21-10-21-1
Week 32-11-22-1
Week 43-12-23-1
Week 53-22-33-2
Week 63-33-33-3
Week 83-43-43-4
Week 93-53-54-4
Week 103-63-64-5
Week 113-74-65-5
Week 133-84-76-5
Week 143-94-86-6

A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.

2026 Power Rating Trajectory

Opened -4.6 in the preseason and finished -2.1 after week 8, a move of +2.5 points. High -1.8 (week 2), low -4.6 (the preseason).

Line chart of the 2026 Blue Chip Analytics power rating across 10 points, from -4.6 to -2.1.

PreW8

Syracuse Orange SP+ Profile

Offence+23.985 of 138higher is better
Defence+25.058 of 138lower is better
Special teams+0.436 of 138higher is better

SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.

How Confident Is This Rating?

Sources blended5
Source spread±2.6 pts
HFA measured+2.6 pts
HFA applied+2.5 pts

Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.

The measured and applied home field advantage agree to within 0.1 points here, so smoothing changes little for this venue.

Record Against 2026 Opponents

Regular and postseason meetings, 2016–2025. Over/under history begins in 2017 and 2020 was shortened by COVID, so game counts vary.
OpponentMetRecordATS
California11-01-0
Pittsburgh102-83-6-1
UConn55-02-2-1
Virginia11-00-1
Louisville72-52-5
North Carolina41-30-4
SMU10-11-0
Clemson92-76-3
NC State83-55-3
Boston College104-64-6
Notre Dame50-51-4

No meeting on record since 2016: New Hampshire.

Home, Road and Neutral, 2016–2025

At home36-2828-33-3 ATS · 64 games
On the road16-3528-23 ATS · 51 games
Neutral site3-53-5 ATS · 8 games

2026 Season Travel Profile

4,255 miles - ranked 114th heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Cumulative travel of 4,255 round-trip miles across the 2026 season.

Week 04,255 mi total

Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0-Bye
Week 1New HampshireHome0 mi
Week 2CaliforniaHome0 mi
Week 3Pittsburgh269 mi537 mi
Week 4-Bye
Week 5UConn200 mi938 mi
Week 6Virginia367 mi1,672 mi
Week 7LouisvilleHome1,672 mi
Week 8North Carolina516 mi2,704 mi
Week 9SMUHome2,704 mi
Week 10ClemsonHome2,704 mi
Week 11NC State518 mi3,740 mi
Week 12Boston College258 mi4,255 mi
Week 13Notre DameHome4,255 mi
Week 14-Bye
Week 15-Bye
Week 16-Bye
Postseason-Bye

Syracuse Orange Season Outlook

Quarterback carousel defines the season

Syracuse opened with Steve Angeli, who returned from a torn Achilles and threw three touchdowns in a 66-3 rout of New Hampshire. But Angeli struggled with turnovers, throwing three interceptions against Cal, and was benched at Pittsburgh. Amari Odom started at UConn and delivered a 42-41 overtime win with six total touchdowns, then was unavailable at Virginia. Malachi Nelson started against Virginia and Louisville, showing promise but also throwing interceptions. The Orange have started three different quarterbacks in three weeks, and the offense has been functional with each, scoring 42 at UConn and 25 at Virginia. The uncertainty prevents opponents from game-planning for one skill set, but it also prevents Syracuse from establishing rhythm. With Angeli and Odom injured, the quarterback situation is dire, and the staff must find stability to salvage the season.

Run defense remains a glaring weakness

Syracuse allowed 5.3 yards per carry in 2025 and has not fixed the problem against Power Four competition. Pittsburgh ran for 245 yards and three touchdowns, with freshman Damon Ferguson Jr. gashing them for 102 yards and a 32-yard score. UConn's Cyncir Bowers ran for 163 yards and two touchdowns, including a 71-yarder, as the Huskies erased a 20-point deficit. Virginia's Jekail Middlebrook ran for 95 yards and two fourth-quarter touchdowns to complete a 10-point comeback. The only game in which Syracuse controlled the run was against FCS New Hampshire. The transfer-heavy defensive line (Dillan Fontus, Keyshawn Johnson, Tunmise Adeleye) and first-year coordinator Vince Kehres have shown promise but not proof against physical rushing attacks. Until the front seven holds up on early downs, the Orange will struggle to get off the field and keep opposing offenses from controlling tempo.

Penalties and special teams are costing games

Syracuse leads the country in penalties and has been flagged repeatedly in key moments. The Orange committed 12 penalties for 130 yards against New Hampshire, nine for 90 yards at Pittsburgh (including a pass interference on third down that led to Fran Brown's unsportsmanlike conduct penalty and a Pitt touchdown two plays later), and eight for 75 yards against Louisville, including three unsportsmanlike penalties in the first half. The kicking game has also been costly: Tripp Woody missed a 46-yard field goal and doinked a 31-yarder against Cal, and those six points were the difference in an 18-21 loss. In close games, hidden yards and missed kicks matter more, and Syracuse has yet to clean up these self-inflicted wounds. Until discipline improves, the Orange will continue to beat themselves.

Receiving corps and home environment provide hope

Despite the quarterback turmoil, Syracuse has a reliable target in Umari Hatcher, who had 13 catches for 224 yards against Louisville, his fourth game over 100 yards this season, and leads the ACC in touchdown receptions. Freshman Calvin Russell III, who tore his Achilles in March, had his best game against Louisville with six catches for 53 yards and his first touchdown. Daunte Bacheyie has also impressed. The Orange play in the climate-controlled Dome, where they are 1-1 this season, and have no travel for home games. That home comfort should help a team breaking in multiple quarterbacks. If the offense can protect the ball and the defense can get stops, the home environment could fuel an upset or two down the stretch.

Tough schedule leaves little margin for error

Syracuse is 2-4 and 0-4 in ACC play, with all four losses coming by margins of three, fourteen, three, and eight points. The Orange have lost 11 consecutive ACC games and 12 straight against Power 4 opponents, and have been outscored 78-36 in the second half this season. The remaining schedule includes road trips to North Carolina and others, and the team has already traveled 836 miles. The quarterback injuries and depth issues make every game a challenge. To turn the season around, Syracuse must find a consistent quarterback, stop the run, and eliminate penalties. The talent is there to compete, but the margin for error is thin, and the Orange must execute cleanly to avoid another losing season.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Syracuse Orange's against-the-spread record in 2026?

Syracuse Orange is 3-3 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 50% of games.

What is Syracuse Orange's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

Syracuse Orange holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of -2.1, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is Syracuse Orange's home field advantage rating?

Syracuse Orange's home field advantage rating is 2.5 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

What is Syracuse Orange's 2026 win total?

Syracuse Orange's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 4.5 wins, priced at -115 over and -115 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.

How many miles does Syracuse Orange travel in 2026?

Syracuse Orange travels 4,255 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 114th heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

Syracuse Orange: 2-4 overall, 3-3 ATS, power rating -2.1 (2026 records).