Week 5
Kenan Stadium

Notre Dame @ North Carolina , Week 5, Oct 3, 2026

0-0 Independent Power rating: 26.7
0-0 ACC Power rating: -3.4

Is there value in the Notre Dame vs North Carolina line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
ND -27.3
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors NDfavors UNC ▸
‹ 30.1 ND
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1 ND1 UNC2 ND2 UNCModel: ND -27.3

Notre Dame (power rating: 26.7) carries a 30.1-point advantage over North Carolina (-3.4) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. North Carolina's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.1) narrows that gap at Kenan Stadium. Beyond home field, the model also charges North Carolina's bye week. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Notre Dame vs North Carolina at Kenan Stadium?

The latest reading for Kenan Stadium shows Clear, 71°F with winds of 5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Notre Dame and North Carolina compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Notre Dame (26.7) over North Carolina (-3.4) by 30.1 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, North Carolina faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. North Carolina brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Notre Dame -27.3. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of August 29, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

71°F

Rain14%
Precip0.00"
Humidity93%
Wind5 mph ESE
Gusts17 mph
Wind map for Notre Dame at North Carolina: aerial view of Kenan Stadium, wind from the ESE at 5.4 mph, gusting to 16.6 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 5
Kickoff (local)
12:00 AM EDT
Venue
Kenan Stadium
Capacity
50,500
Elevation
446 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Measure Notre DameAway North CarolinaHome
This week556 miles0 miles
Last week189 milesBye week
Season total1,174 miles7,688 miles
Body clock00:0000:00
Rest7 days14 days

Notre Dame travels 556 miles to this game, a moderate road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.