Week 12
Notre Dame Stadium

SMU @ Notre Dame , Week 12, Nov 22, 2026

0-0 ACC Power rating: 12.8
0-0 Independent Power rating: 26.7

Is there value in the SMU vs Notre Dame line?

Market line
ND -17.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
ND -16.1
Edge
-1.4SMU
See details
◂ favors SMUfavors ND ▸Market: ND -17.5
13.9 › ND
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1 SMU1 ND2 SMU2 NDModel: ND -16.1

Betting information

Spread
ND -17.5
Total
56.5
Odds implied score
SMU 19.5 – 37.0 ND

DraftKings · as of August 30, 2026

Notre Dame (power rating: 26.7) holds a 13.9-point advantage over SMU (12.8) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Notre Dame's home field adds 2.2 points to that advantage at Notre Dame Stadium. The market line is Notre Dame -17.5 and our model shows Notre Dame -16.1; Modest edge toward SMU. Beyond home field, nothing else applies here - rest, travel, elevation and weather all read neutral for this matchup. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect SMU vs Notre Dame at Notre Dame Stadium?

The latest reading for Notre Dame Stadium shows Overcast, 68°F with winds of 7 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What do prediction markets say about SMU vs Notre Dame?

Prediction market pricing is not yet available for this game. The bookmaker spread of Notre Dame -17.5 sets the line for now. The Blue Chip model makes it Notre Dame -16.1; see the line value calculator below for the full breakdown.

How do SMU and Notre Dame compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Notre Dame (26.7) over SMU (12.8) by 13.9 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Notre Dame brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Notre Dame -16.1, 1.4 points toward SMU against the market.

Conditions

as of September 5, 2026 Preliminary

Overcast

68°F

Rain32%
Precip0.00"
Humidity93%
Wind7 mph SSW
Gusts14 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for SMU at Notre Dame: aerial view of Notre Dame Stadium, wind from the SSW at 6.5 mph, gusting to 13.9 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 12
Kickoff (local)
07:30 PM EST
Venue
Notre Dame Stadium
Capacity
77,622
Elevation
755 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure SMUAway Notre DameHome
This week842 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total6,441 miles5,930 miles
Body clock18:3019:30
Rest8 days8 days

SMU travels 842 miles to this game, a significant road trip. SMU arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.