DraftKings · as of October 12, 2026
Notre Dame (power rating: 28.0) holds a 19.3-point advantage over SMU (8.7) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Notre Dame's home field adds 2.2 points to that advantage at Notre Dame Stadium. The market line is Notre Dame -17.5 and our model shows Notre Dame -21.3; Strong model lean toward Notre Dame. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from the conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The latest reading for Notre Dame Stadium shows Clear, 47°F, wind chill 43°F with winds of 7 mph. Gusts reaching 21 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Prediction market pricing is not yet available for this game. The bookmaker spread of Notre Dame -17.5 sets the line for now. The Blue Chip model makes it Notre Dame -21.3; see the line value calculator below for the full breakdown.
Clear
47°F
| Measure | SMUAway | Notre DameHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 842 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Home game | Home game |
| Season total | 6,441 miles | 5,930 miles |
| Body clock | 18:30 | 19:30 |
| Rest | 8 days | 8 days |
SMU travels 842 miles to this game, a significant road trip. SMU arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.
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