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Week 12 •
FargodomeIndoor

Northern Illinois @ North Dakota State

0-4 MW Power rating: -20.6
5-0 MW Power rating: 2.0

By · Last updated

Is there value in the Northern Illinois vs North Dakota State line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
ND St -25.1
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors NIUfavors ND St ▸
22.6 › ND St
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
ND St
no impact
no impact
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1 NIU1 ND St2 NIU2 ND StModel: ND St -25.1

North Dakota State (power rating: 2.0) holds a 22.6-point advantage over Northern Illinois (-20.6) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. North Dakota State's home field adds 2.5 points to that advantage at Fargodome. Beyond home field, nothing else applies here - rest, travel, elevation and weather all read neutral for this matchup. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Northern Illinois vs North Dakota State at Fargodome?

Fargodome is an indoor, climate-controlled venue. Weather will not be a factor in this game.

How do Northern Illinois and North Dakota State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor North Dakota State (2.0) over Northern Illinois (-20.6) by 22.6 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. North Dakota State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Northern Illinois and North Dakota State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Blue Chip makes this North Dakota State -25.1. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

Indoor, climate controlled

~72°F

Fargodome is a domed venue. Wind, precipitation and temperature are not factors in this game.

Quick facts

Week
Week 12
Kickoff (local)
03:00 PM CST
Venue
Fargodome
Capacity
18,700
Elevation
902 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Northern IllinoisAway North Dakota StateHome
This week524 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game7,608 miles
Season total13,065 miles16,050 miles
Body clock15:0015:00
Rest7 days6 days

Northern Illinois travels 524 miles to this game, a moderate road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

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