Wyoming (power rating: -16.9) holds a 3.7-point advantage over Northern Illinois (-20.6) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Wyoming's home field adds 3.3 points to that advantage at War Memorial Stadium. Beyond home field, the model charges the altitude at War Memorial Stadium and the conditions, with a slighter reading for Northern Illinois's trip. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The latest reading for War Memorial Stadium shows Clear, 43°F, wind chill 33°F with winds of 27 mph. Wind of 27 mph is the most significant condition here. Across 3,138 games, sustained wind at or above 15 mph moved the total down by about 1.7 points from open to close, and the effect is on the total rather than the side. Gusts reaching 42 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Prediction markets on Kalshi price Wyoming as 55% favorites to beat Northern Illinois (46%). That implies a market-derived spread of Wyoming -1.2. The Blue Chip model makes it Wyoming -7.8, a notable divergence from the Kalshi consensus. Use the line value calculator below to compare prediction market probabilities against your own line.
Clear
43°F
| Measure | Northern IllinoisAway | WyomingHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 869 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Home game | 1,828 miles |
| Season total | 5,166 miles | 5,250 miles |
| Body clock | 14:30 | 13:30 |
| Rest | 7 days | 7 days |
Northern Illinois travels 869 miles to this game, a significant road trip. Northern Illinois arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.
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