Week 12 •
Michigan Stadium

UCLA @ Michigan , Week 12, Nov 21, 2026

4-0 Big Ten Power rating: 12.5
3-2 Big Ten Power rating: 10.3

Is there value in the UCLA vs Michigan line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
MICH -0.3
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors UCLAfavors MICH ▸
UCLA
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1 UCLA1 MICH2 UCLA2 MICHModel: MICH -0.3

UCLA (power rating: 12.5) carries a 2.2-point advantage over Michigan (10.3) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Michigan's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 1.9) narrows that gap at Michigan Stadium. Beyond home field, the model also charges UCLA's long trip. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect UCLA vs Michigan at Michigan Stadium?

The latest reading for Michigan Stadium shows Clear, 44°F, wind chill 40°F with winds of 8 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do UCLA and Michigan compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor UCLA (12.5) over Michigan (10.3) by 2.2 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Michigan faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Michigan brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Michigan -0.3. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of October 13, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

44°F

Rain7%
Precip0.00"
Humidity74%
Wind8 mph NNE
Gusts17 mph
Wind chill40°F
Snow chance0%
Wind map for UCLA at Michigan: aerial view of Michigan Stadium, wind from the NNE at 7.6 mph, gusting to 17.1 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 12
Kickoff (local)
12:00 AM EST
Venue
Michigan Stadium
Capacity
107,601
Elevation
863 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure UCLAAway MichiganHome
This week1,940 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game3,944 miles
Season total11,717 miles5,959 miles
Body clock21:0000:00
Rest7 days7 days

UCLA travels 1,940 miles to this game, a cross-country trip. A trip of this length is worth roughly two thirds of a point to the home team on the measured evidence.