Week 12 • November 21, 2026, 05:00 AM UTC
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Big Ten
Power Rank: 1.4
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Big Ten
Power Rank: 16.0

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Michigan (power rating: 16.0) holds a 14.6-point edge over UCLA (1.4) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Michigan's home field adds 2.7 points to that edge at Michigan Stadium. UCLA travels 1,940 miles for this game — check the travel panel for rest and body clock context. See Line Value below.

General Information

Week: Week 12
Kick Off (at stadium): 12:00 AM EST
Stadium: Michigan Stadium
Capacity: 107,601
Elevation: 863 ft
HFA Rating: 2.7
Playing Surface: Artificial Turf

Betting Information

Spread None
Total (O/U) -
Odds Implied Score -
Power Rank Implied Line Michigan -14.6

Line Value Calculator

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UCLA
Michigan
Home field — Michigan Stadium
Weather: Mist
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

Does weather affect UCLA vs Michigan at Michigan Stadium?

Game-time forecast at Michigan Stadium shows Mist — 73.0°F, Feels Like 63.9°F with winds of 3.6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. The weather adjustment has been pre-filled in the Line Value Calculator above — adjust manually if conditions change before kick-off.

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: July 05, 2026
Mist

Mist

73.0°F

Feels Like: 63.9°F
Wind: 3.6 mph N
Gusts: 7.1 mph
Precipitation: 0.01"
Humidity: 97%
Rain Chance: 47%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

UCLA (Away)

This Week: 1939.8 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 11717.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 21:00
Rest Days: 7

Michigan (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 3943.8 miles
Season Total: 5958.8 miles
Body Clock Time: 00:00
Rest Days: 7

What are the key factors for UCLA vs Michigan?

UCLA: Key Factors

New-look roster cohesion under first-year coach

UCLA enters the season with a largely overhauled roster under new head coach Bob Chesney, including key transfers from James Madison and other programs. The team's success hinges on how quickly these new pieces—especially along both lines and at receiver—can gel in a challenging road opener at Cal.

Nico Iamaleava's dual-threat ability is the offensive engine

Quarterback Nico Iamaleava returns as the centerpiece, combining a 64.4% completion rate with 505 rushing yards last season. His mobility and willingness to take hits are critical, but scouts question his downfield accuracy under pressure. Cal's defense will likely focus on containing his runs and forcing him to throw from the pocket.

Defensive strength in secondary vs. Cal's passing attack

UCLA's secondary is the defense's strongest unit, with returning safety Cole Martin, cornerback Rodrick Pleasant, and nickel Scooter Jackson, plus impact transfers like Utah safety Tao Johnson. This group should be well-equipped to handle Cal's passing game, especially if the Bruins can generate pressure with a rebuilt defensive line.

Weather and travel factors favor a low-scoring, grind-it-out game

The Bruins travel 343 miles to Berkeley, facing a forecast of light rain, 51°F, and 9 mph wind. These conditions typically suppress scoring and favor teams that can run the ball effectively. UCLA's running back duo of Wayne Knight and Anthony Woods will be crucial in controlling the clock and keeping the game manageable.

Special teams reliability provides a safety net

Placekicker Mateen Bhaghani has made 83% of his career field goals, including 39-of-45 inside 50 yards, while punter Curtis Gerrand averaged 43 yards per punt last season. In what could be a tight, low-scoring affair, field position and kicking accuracy may prove decisive for UCLA.

Michigan: Key Factors

New offensive identity under Whittingham and Beck

Michigan's offense is expected to feature more spread concepts and increased designed runs for QB Bryce Underwood, who struggled as a freshman. The Wolverines return RB Jordan Marshall (932 yards, 10 TDs) and add 5-star freshman Savion Hiter, plus a revamped receiving corps led by Andrew Marsh and transfers JJ Buchanan and Jaime Ffrench. The offensive line returns four starters, so the unit should be more explosive than last year's 68th-ranked scoring offense.

Defensive strength with new coordinator and key transfers

DC Jay Hill aims to replicate the 2023 national title defense with varied looks and simulated blitzes. All-American DE John Henry Daley (11.5 sacks) anchors the line, while the secondary is deep with returning corners Jyaire Hill and Zeke Berry, safety Rod Moore, and transfers Smith Snowden and Chris Bracy. Linebacker depth is a concern, but the defense has top-unit potential if healthy.

Special teams overhaul with new kicker and punter

Michigan brought in P Cameron Brown (UNLV) and K Trey Butkowski (Pitt, 20-of-23 FG as a freshman) to address last year's special teams struggles. Andrew Marsh is the leading returner candidate, with Salesi Moa and Ffrench also in the mix. Improved fundamentals are expected under new coordinator Kerry Coombs.

Home opener with favorable conditions and no travel

Michigan plays at home with a 2.7-point HFA and no travel, facing Western Michigan. The weather forecast shows thundery outbreaks and 18 mph wind, which could affect passing and kicking. The Wolverines have a rest advantage as both teams start the season fresh.

High ceiling but potential growing pains in first game

With a new coaching staff, offensive system, and several transfers, Michigan may need time to gel. The preseason outlook projects a 9-3 ceiling, but the opener against a MAC opponent is a chance to build confidence. Key to watch: how quickly Underwood adapts to the spread and whether the defense can generate turnovers early.

What do the matchup numbers say?

UCLA travels 1,940 miles to this game, a cross-country trip.

UCLA arrives with a 3-hour body clock disadvantage.

How do UCLA and Michigan compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Michigan (16.0) over UCLA (1.4) by 14.6 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Michigan brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.7). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip Analytics rates Michigan as the stronger team by 14.6 points on a neutral field; apply HFA and travel context before finalising a line read.