Week 9 • October 25, 2025, 08:15 PM UTC
5-2
SEC
Power Rank: 20.6
45 FINAL 38
4-3
SEC
Power Rank: 12.9
Texas covered by 0.5 | Game went Over by 38.5
Texas @ Mississippi State Preview

General Information

Week: Week 9
Kick Off (at stadium): 03:15 PM CDT
Stadium: Davis Wade Stadium
Capacity: 60,311
Elevation: 381 ft
HFA Rating: 2.2
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread Texas -6.5
Total (O/U) 44.5
Expected Score TEX 25.5 - 19.0 MSST
Power Rank Implied Line Texas +7.7

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

33.4°F

Wind Chill: 27.4°F
Wind: 6.5 mph SW
Gusts: 13.9 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 75%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Texas (Away)

This Week: 569.0 miles
Last Week: 1850.6 miles
Season Total: 6761.1 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:15
Rest Days: 7

Mississippi State (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 923.5 miles
Season Total: 2191.9 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:15
Rest Days: 7

⚡ Line Value Calculator

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Betting Information
Current Line Texas -6.5
Total Points 44.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Texas 20.6
Mississippi State 12.9
✈️ Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 569 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
🏟️ HFA: Davis Wade Stadium
Capacity 60,311
Elevation 381 ft
🌤️ Weather: Clear
Temperature 33.4°F
Wind Speed 6.5 mph
Your Line Mississippi State -7.7
💰 Implied Value --

College Football Lines - Factors and Insights

Texas

Offensive Struggles in Critical Moments

Texas's offense failed to capitalize on key opportunities, going 1-of-5 on fourth down and being stopped twice inside the Ohio State 10-yard line. Arch Manning was stuffed on a QB sneak at the 1-yard line in the third quarter, and a late red-zone pass was broken up, highlighting execution issues in high-leverage situations.

Arch Manning Contained for Three Quarters

Manning was largely neutralized by Ohio State's defense until the fourth quarter, finishing 17-of-30 for 170 yards, one touchdown, and one interception. He acknowledged needing to play better for Texas to win, as the Buckeyes' secondary and scheme limited big plays and forced him into inefficient passing.

Road Winning Streak Snapped

The loss ended Texas's 11-game winning streak in true road games, which included five victories against ranked opponents. This setback against a top-tier team on the road exposes vulnerabilities that must be addressed as they return home for their next game.

Self-Inflicted Mistakes

Manning and coach Steve Sarkisian pointed to self-inflicted errors as a key factor in the loss, including penalties and missed opportunities. The Longhorns' inability to sustain drives and convert in the red zone allowed Ohio State to control the game's tempo and outcome.

Defensive Performance Provides Hope

Despite the loss, Texas's defense kept the game within reach, holding Ohio State to 14 points and forcing a late three-and-out to give the offense a chance to tie. This defensive resilience will be crucial as they regroup for a more manageable opponent next week.