Week 9 • October 25, 2025, 04:00 PM UTC
6-1
American
Power Rank: 12.5
31 FINAL 34
6-1
American
Power Rank: 7.7
Memphis covered by 7.5 | Game went Under by 0.5
South Florida @ Memphis Preview

General Information

Week: Week 9
Kick Off (at stadium): 11:00 AM CDT
Stadium: Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
Capacity: 50,000
Elevation: 315 ft
HFA Rating: 2.5
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread South Florida -4.5
Total (O/U) 65.5
Expected Score USF 35.0 - 30.5 MEM
Power Rank Implied Line South Florida +4.8

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Sunny

Sunny

42.6°F

Wind Chill: 36.7°F
Wind: 11.4 mph WSW
Gusts: 17.0 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 50%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

South Florida (Away)

This Week: 660.5 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 3173.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:00
Rest Days: 7

Memphis (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 423.8 miles
Season Total: 3423.8 miles
Body Clock Time: 11:00
Rest Days: 7

⚡ Line Value Calculator

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Betting Information
Current Line South Florida -4.5
Total Points 65.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
South Florida 12.5
Memphis 7.7
✈️ Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 660 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
🏟️ HFA: Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
Capacity 50,000
Elevation 315 ft
🌤️ Weather: Sunny
Temperature 42.6°F
Wind Speed 11.4 mph
Your Line Memphis -4.8
💰 Implied Value --

College Football Lines - Factors and Insights

Memphis

Strong Second Half Adjustments and Control

Memphis demonstrated excellent halftime adjustments, outscoring Georgia State 21-0 in the second half after leading just 17-16 at halftime. The Tigers controlled the game with methodical drives, including two long touchdown drives in the third quarter that each took significant time off the clock (5+ minutes each), showing their ability to wear down opponents.

Makari Bodiford Emerging as Key Offensive Weapon

Bodiford had a standout performance with two rushing touchdowns, including scores from both 7 yards and 1 yard out. His ability to punch in short-yardage touchdowns and contribute to sustained drives makes him a reliable red zone threat that opposing defenses will need to account for.

DeMarco Ward's Defensive Playmaking Streak

Ward recorded his second pick-6 in as many games with a 31-yard interception return for touchdown, establishing himself as a game-changing defensive back. This consistent big-play ability from the secondary provides Memphis with a defensive weapon that can quickly shift momentum and add points.

Improved Start to 2-0 Record

Memphis moved to 2-0 on the season with a convincing 22-point victory, showing they can pull away from opponents after competitive first halves. The Tigers' ability to close out games strong suggests good conditioning and coaching, which will be valuable as they face tougher competition.

Balanced Offensive Attack with Multiple Contributors

The Tigers showed offensive diversity with Brendon Lewis contributing a 5-yard rushing touchdown alongside Bodiford's two scores, and Sutton Smith also finding the end zone in the first half. This multi-faceted ground game gives Memphis multiple options and makes them harder to defend.