Week 9 • October 25, 2025, 05:00 PM UTC
2-6
MAC
Power Rank: -17.2
24 FINAL 16
4-3
MAC
Power Rank: -9.9
Akron covered by 17.5 | Game went Under by 9.5
Akron @ Buffalo Preview

General Information

Week: Week 9
Kick Off (at stadium): 01:00 PM EDT
Stadium: UB Stadium
Capacity: 25,013
Elevation: 600 ft
HFA Rating: 2.4
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Buffalo -9.5
Total (O/U) 49.5
Expected Score AKR 20.0 - 29.5 BUF
Power Rank Implied Line Buffalo +7.3

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Heavy snow

Heavy snow

24.6°F

Wind Chill: 12.4°F
Wind: 14.3 mph SW
Gusts: 21.0 mph
Precipitation: 0.01"
Humidity: 94%
Rain Chance: 100%
Snow Chance: 100%

Travel & Rest

Akron (Away)

This Week: 193.4 miles
Last Week: 427.5 miles
Season Total: 3859.9 miles
Body Clock Time: 13:00
Rest Days: 7

Buffalo (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 641.3 miles
Season Total: 2471.1 miles
Body Clock Time: 13:00
Rest Days: 7

⚡ Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Buffalo -9.5
Total Points 49.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Akron -17.2
Buffalo -9.9
✈️ Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 193 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
🏟️ HFA: UB Stadium
Capacity 25,013
Elevation 600 ft
🌤️ Weather: Heavy snow
Temperature 24.6°F
Wind Speed 14.3 mph
Your Line Buffalo +7.3
💰 Implied Value --

College Football Lines - Factors and Insights

Akron

Jordan Gant reaches 1,000-yard milestone

Running back Jordan Gant rushed for 86 yards to finish the season with 1,032 yards, crossing the 1,000-yard threshold and establishing himself as a reliable offensive weapon. He was the 13th-leading rusher in FBS entering this game and sealed the victory with an 18-yard carry in the final moments.

Kicking game proves reliable in close contests

Matthew Schramm converted all four field goal attempts, including a career-long 48-yarder, providing consistent scoring in a low-scoring affair. This reliable kicking game could be crucial in future close games, especially given Akron's tendency to play in tight contests.

Passing game shows big-play potential but inconsistency

QB Ben Finley completed only 9-of-26 passes but delivered a crucial 75-yard touchdown strike to Israel Polk when needed most. The low completion percentage (34.6%) indicates ongoing passing game struggles, but the ability to connect on game-changing plays provides hope.

Defense creates game-winning turnover

Bruno Dall's interception with one minute remaining sealed the victory after Bowling Green had driven to the Akron 42-yard line. This clutch defensive play in crunch time shows the team's ability to make critical stops when the game is on the line.

Season ends with fourth consecutive losing record

Despite the victory, Akron finished 5-7 overall and 4-4 in MAC play, marking head coach Joe Moorhead's fourth straight losing season. The team showed improvement in conference play but still struggles with overall consistency and finishing above .500.

Buffalo

Explosive Offensive Performance Against Overmatched Opponent

Buffalo dominated with 503 total yards and 32 first downs against FCS Saint Francis, but this was against a significantly weaker opponent that managed only 126 total yards. The offensive explosion may not translate against stronger competition.

Ta'Quan Roberson Shows Dual-Threat Capability

Roberson accounted for 3 total touchdowns (2 rushing, 1 passing) including a 40-yard rushing score, demonstrating his ability to create plays with both his arm and legs. However, he was intercepted once and completed just 50% of his passes, showing room for improvement in accuracy.

Ground Game Finds Success with Multiple Contributors

Al-Jay Henderson led the rushing attack with 98 yards and 2 TDs on 24 carries, while Roberson and James McNeil Jr. also found the end zone on the ground. The balanced rushing attack could be key against tougher defenses going forward.

Special Teams and Defense Create Early Momentum

Connor Henderson's blocked punt in the first minute set up the opening touchdown, and the defense completely shut down Saint Francis' ground game (11 yards). The early momentum and defensive dominance helped establish a commanding 24-0 halftime lead.

Bounce-Back Win After Season Opener

Buffalo improved to 1-1 with this dominant performance, suggesting they learned from their season-opening loss. The comprehensive nature of the victory across all phases should provide confidence heading into their next matchup against stronger competition.