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Week 7 • October 12, 2025, 12:00 AM UTC
Troy @ Texas State
3-2
Sun Belt
Power Rank: -4.4
48 FINAL 41
3-2
Sun Belt
Power Rank: -3.3
Troy covered by 17.5 | Game went Over by 34.5
Troy @ Texas State Preview

General Information

Week: Week 7
Kick Off (at stadium): 07:00 PM CDT
Stadium: Bobcat Stadium (TX)
Capacity: 27,149
Elevation: 600 ft
HFA Rating: 2.9
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Texas State -10.5
Total (O/U) 54.5
Expected Score TROY 22.0 - 32.5 TXST
Power Rank Implied Line Texas State +1.1
Prediction Markets Texas State 73% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Partly Cloudy

Partly Cloudy

34.7°F

Wind Chill: 32.0°F
Wind: 3.1 mph S
Gusts: 6.4 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 37%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Troy (Away)

This Week: 723.3 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 4208.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:00
Rest Days: 8

Texas State (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 1176.9 miles
Season Total: 2989.9 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:00
Rest Days: 8

⚡ Line Value Calculator

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Betting Information
Current Line Texas State -10.5
Total Points 54.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Troy -4.4
Texas State -3.3
✈️ Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 723 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
🏟️ HFA: Bobcat Stadium (TX)
Capacity 27,149
Elevation 600 ft
🌤️ Weather: Partly Cloudy
Temperature 34.7°F
Wind Speed 3.1 mph
Your Line Texas State +1.1
💰 Implied Value --

College Football Lines - Factors and Insights

Troy

Late-game offensive explosion

Troy scored 21 unanswered points in the fourth quarter to turn a close game into a comfortable win. Quarterback Goose Crowder accounted for three touchdowns (two passing, one rushing) in the final period, showing the offense can finish strong when needed.

Dominant rushing attack

The Trojans rushed for 272 yards, led by Tae Meadows' 186 yards and a touchdown. This ground game control wore down Nicholls and set up the late scoring surge, providing a reliable offensive foundation.

Defensive pressure and third-down success

Troy's defense recorded four sacks and eight tackles for loss, holding Nicholls to just 249 total yards and 4-of-11 on third-down conversions. This disruptive performance limited the Colonels' opportunities and kept the game within reach until the offense ignited.

Crowder's dual-threat capability

Goose Crowder accounted for four total touchdowns (three passing, one rushing) and showed he can impact the game both through the air and on the ground. His late-game execution will be a key asset moving forward.

Slow start needs addressing

Despite the strong finish, Troy trailed for much of the game and didn't take its first lead until the fourth quarter. The team will need to start faster against stronger opponents to avoid playing from behind.