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Week 7 • October 12, 2025, 02:30 AM UTC
San Diego State @ Nevada
4-1
MW
Power Rank: 1.4
44 FINAL 10
1-4
MW
Power Rank: -14.1
San Diego State covered by 27.5 | Game went Over by 11.5
San Diego State @ Nevada Preview

General Information

Week: Week 7
Kick Off (at stadium): 07:30 PM PDT
Stadium: Mackay Stadium
Capacity: 30,000
Elevation: 4619 ft
HFA Rating: 2.2
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread San Diego State -6.5
Total (O/U) 42.5
Expected Score SDSU 24.5 - 18.0 NEV
Power Rank Implied Line San Diego State +15.5
Prediction Markets San Diego State 72% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

40.4°F

Wind Chill: 37.7°F
Wind: 4.3 mph WSW
Gusts: 8.1 mph
Precipitation: 0.02"
Humidity: 66%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

San Diego State (Away)

This Week: 490.1 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 7006.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:30
Rest Days: 8

Nevada (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 377.0 miles
Season Total: 8403.4 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:30
Rest Days: 7

⚡ Line Value Calculator

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Betting Information
Current Line San Diego State -6.5
Total Points 42.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
San Diego State 1.4
Nevada -14.1
✈️ Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 490 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest San Diego State +1
🏟️ HFA: Mackay Stadium
Capacity 30,000
Elevation 4619 ft
🌤️ Weather: Clear
Temperature 40.4°F
Wind Speed 4.3 mph
Your Line Nevada -15.5
💰 Implied Value --

College Football Lines - Factors and Insights

Nevada

Defensive playmaking ability in clutch moments

Jonathan Maldonado's 36-yard pick-six with 2:17 remaining was the game-winning play, demonstrating Nevada's defense can create turnovers and score points when the game is on the line. This clutch defensive performance could be a confidence booster for future close games.

Strong rushing attack led by mobile quarterback

Nevada rushed for 268 total yards with QB Chubba Purdy contributing 115 yards on 22 carries plus a rushing touchdown. This ground game dominance shows they can control the clock and wear down defenses, which will be crucial for future game planning.

Quarterback turnover concerns despite mobility

Chubba Purdy threw two interceptions while only passing for 144 yards, indicating potential issues with ball security and passing efficiency. His mobility helped offset these concerns, but the turnovers could be problematic against stronger defenses.

Ability to capitalize on opponent mistakes

Nevada benefited significantly from Sacramento State's penalties that nullified two potential go-ahead touchdowns and a missed field goal. While they can't rely on opponent errors, their ability to stay composed and take advantage when opportunities arise is a positive trait.