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Week 7 • October 11, 2025, 04:00 PM UTC
Pittsburgh @ Florida State
3-2
ACC
Power Rank: 10.1
34 FINAL 31
3-2
ACC
Power Rank: 15.1
Pittsburgh covered by 12.5 | Game went Over by 6.5
Pittsburgh @ Florida State Preview

General Information

Week: Week 7
Kick Off (at stadium): 12:00 PM EDT
Stadium: Doak Campbell Stadium
Capacity: 50,000
Elevation: 95 ft
HFA Rating: 2.3
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread Florida State -9.5
Total (O/U) 58.5
Expected Score PITT 24.5 - 34.0 FSU
Power Rank Implied Line Florida State +5.0
Prediction Markets Florida State 78% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Sunny

Sunny

46.8°F

Wind Chill: 44.3°F
Wind: 5.6 mph WNW
Gusts: 7.0 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 19%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Pittsburgh (Away)

This Week: 731.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 841.1 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:00
Rest Days: 7

Florida State (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 1496.8 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:00
Rest Days: 7

⚡ Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Florida State -9.5
Total Points 58.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Pittsburgh 10.1
Florida State 15.1
✈️ Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 731 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
🏟️ HFA: Doak Campbell Stadium
Capacity 50,000
Elevation 95 ft
🌤️ Weather: Sunny
Temperature 46.8°F
Wind Speed 5.6 mph
Your Line Florida State +5.0
💰 Implied Value --

College Football Lines - Factors and Insights

Pittsburgh

Holstein's Health and Mobility Key Factor

QB Eli Holstein appears fully recovered from last season's injury, throwing for 304 yards and 4 TDs while also showing mobility with a 31-yard sprint. His health and dual-threat ability will be crucial against West Virginia's defense in the rivalry game.

Explosive Passing Attack with Williams Connection

The Holstein-to-Williams connection proved lethal with two touchdown passes (3-yard and 48-yard) and 121 receiving yards. This big-play capability will be essential in what could be a high-scoring Backyard Brawl against West Virginia.

Turnover Issues Continue to Plague Offense

Holstein threw his second interception in two games, showing a concerning pattern of ball security issues. Against a rivalry opponent like West Virginia, these turnovers could be more costly than they were against Central Michigan.

Defense Allowed Extended Drives and Time of Possession

Pittsburgh's defense struggled with Central Michigan's methodical approach, allowing nearly 36 minutes of possession time and letting the Chippewas stay within striking distance until late in the third quarter. This could be problematic against West Virginia's offense.

Strong Response Under Pressure Shows Mental Toughness

After Central Michigan cut the lead to 24-17 in the third quarter, Pittsburgh immediately responded with a 48-yard touchdown pass, showing resilience that will be tested in the hostile environment of the Backyard Brawl rivalry game.