Week 7 • October 11, 2025, 08:15 PM UTC
2-3
SEC
Power Rank: 9.3
31 FINAL 34
4-1
SEC
Power Rank: 18.0
Arkansas covered by 9.5 | Game went Under by 4.5
Arkansas @ Tennessee Preview

General Information

Week: Week 7
Kick Off (at stadium): 04:15 PM EDT
Stadium: Neyland Stadium
Capacity: 101,915
Elevation: 899 ft
HFA Rating: 3.1
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread Tennessee -12.5
Total (O/U) 69.5
Expected Score ARK 28.5 - 41.0 TENN
Power Rank Implied Line Tennessee +8.7
Prediction Markets Tennessee 79% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Partly Cloudy

Partly Cloudy

23.7°F

Wind Chill: 18.8°F
Wind: 3.4 mph SW
Gusts: 7.2 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 80%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Arkansas (Away)

This Week: 574.1 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 1640.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:15
Rest Days: 14

Tennessee (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 960.4 miles
Body Clock Time: 16:15
Rest Days: 14

⚡ Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Tennessee -12.5
Total Points 69.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Arkansas 9.3
Tennessee 18.0
✈️ Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 574 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
🏟️ HFA: Neyland Stadium
Capacity 101,915
Elevation 899 ft
🌤️ Weather: Partly Cloudy
Temperature 23.7°F
Wind Speed 3.4 mph
Your Line Tennessee +8.7
💰 Implied Value --

College Football Lines - Factors and Insights

Arkansas

Nine-game losing streak continues with defensive collapse

Arkansas extended their losing streak to nine games in a 52-37 loss to Texas, marking another defensive breakdown where they allowed 52 points. The Razorbacks have now surrendered significant point totals consistently, indicating major defensive issues that will be problematic against Missouri's offense next week.

Second-half turnovers and inability to get stops

Arkansas was competitive in the first half, trailing only 24-20, but quarterback Taylen Green threw a crucial interception on their first possession of the second half that led to a Texas touchdown. Interim coach Bobby Petrino noted they 'couldn't get off the field' defensively in the second half, showing continued issues with closing out games.

Team attitude and leadership concerns emerging

For the first time this season, interim coach Bobby Petrino expressed concern about some players' attitudes not being where they need to be. This suggests potential locker room issues and lack of fight as the season winds down, which could impact their performance against ranked Missouri.

Offensive bright spots with Green and Washington

Despite the loss, Arkansas showed some offensive capability with touchdown runs from both quarterback Taylen Green and running back Mike Washington. The ability to keep pace early (20 points in first half) suggests the offense can move the ball, which may be crucial against Missouri's defense.

Winless in SEC play heading into final game

Arkansas remains 0-7 in SEC play and 2-9 overall, making them one of the worst teams in the conference. With only the Missouri game remaining, they face a ranked opponent while showing signs of a team that has mentally checked out, making an upset victory unlikely.

Tennessee

Aguilar's Composed Debut

Transfer quarterback Joey Aguilar delivered a poised and efficient performance in his first start, completing 16 of 28 passes for 247 yards and three touchdowns. His ability to stay calm and distribute the ball effectively (including a 73-yard TD to Braylon Staley) suggests the offense is in steady hands moving forward.

Balanced Offensive Production

The offense rolled up 493 total yards with a strong mix of pass and run. Star Thomas (92 rushing yards, 1 TD) led a rushing attack that produced three touchdowns, showcasing depth at running back. This balance will be crucial against tougher opponents.

Defensive Pressure and Late Leakage

The defense recorded five sacks and an interception, applying consistent pressure on Syracuse's quarterback. However, allowing 26 points and a second-half rally that cut the lead to 12 points indicates some vulnerability that needs tightening, especially in the red zone and on third downs.

Offensive Line Depth Tested

Highly touted true freshman tackle David Sanders Jr. was a late scratch due to injury. The line performed well overall in his absence, but his status and the unit's health will be a key storyline to monitor, especially as competition stiffens later in the season.

Tune-Up Before Stiffer Tests

This was a solid opening win, but the level of competition rises significantly after next week's FCS opponent (East Tennessee State). The team has immediate areas to clean up (penalties, defensive consistency) before facing Power Five foes, making the next game a critical final dress rehearsal.