Week 7 • October 11, 2025, 04:00 PM UTC
4-1
SEC
Power Rank: 26.8
27 FINAL 24
5-0
SEC
Power Rank: 15.9
Missouri covered by 0.5 | Game went Under by 2.5
Alabama @ Missouri Preview

General Information

Week: Week 7
Kick Off (at stadium): 12:00 PM EDT
Stadium: Memorial Stadium
Capacity: 62,621
Elevation: 699 ft
HFA Rating: 2.4
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Alabama -3.5
Total (O/U) 53.5
Expected Score ALA 28.5 - 25.0 MIZ
Power Rank Implied Line Alabama +10.9
Prediction Markets Alabama 62% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Cloudy

Cloudy

32.8°F

Wind Chill: 25.1°F
Wind: 9.6 mph NW
Gusts: 14.8 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 79%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Alabama (Away)

This Week: 477.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 1880.9 miles
Body Clock Time: 11:00
Rest Days: 7

Missouri (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 444.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 11:00
Rest Days: 14

⚡ Line Value Calculator

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Betting Information
Current Line Alabama -3.5
Total Points 53.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Alabama 26.8
Missouri 15.9
✈️ Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 477 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Missouri +7
🏟️ HFA: Memorial Stadium
Capacity 62,621
Elevation 699 ft
🌤️ Weather: Cloudy
Temperature 32.8°F
Wind Speed 9.6 mph
Your Line Missouri -10.9
💰 Implied Value --

College Football Lines - Factors and Insights

Alabama

Running Game Shows Major Improvement

Alabama rushed for a season-high 269 yards with 8 rushing touchdowns, their most since 1979. This is significant progress for a team ranked 123rd nationally in rushing (108.7 yards per game), potentially providing a more balanced offensive attack heading into the crucial Iron Bowl.

Key Players Rested for Iron Bowl

Alabama strategically held out key starters including receiver Germie Bernard, center Parker Brailsford, and injured tight end Josh Cuevas. This rest should help keep core players fresh for the high-stakes Iron Bowl, though Cuevas' injury status remains uncertain.

Turnover Issues Persist with Backup QB

Ty Simpson threw two interceptions, extending his streak to seven consecutive games with a turnover. This ongoing turnover problem could be concerning if Alabama needs to rely on backup quarterbacks in crucial situations against Auburn.

Kicking Game Concerns Emerge

Conor Talty missed a 28-yard field goal and was eventually replaced, drawing boos from the home crowd. Special teams reliability could be crucial in a potentially close Iron Bowl game where every point matters.

SEC Championship and Playoff Stakes

Alabama needs to beat Auburn in the Iron Bowl to clinch a spot in the SEC Championship game. A loss could end their College Football Playoff hopes entirely, making next week's game essentially a must-win situation for their postseason aspirations.

Missouri

Clutch Fourth Down Conversions Under Pressure

Missouri converted multiple fourth downs in the fourth quarter, including the drive that led to the go-ahead touchdown. This demonstrates strong decision-making and execution in high-pressure situations, which will be crucial for future close games.

Resilient Comeback Mentality After Early Deficit

The Tigers showed impressive poise by rallying from a 21-6 hole without folding under pressure. This mental toughness and ability to respond to adversity suggests they can handle challenging situations in upcoming games.

Explosive Offensive Production Through the Air

Quarterback Beau Pribula threw for 334 yards and 3 TDs, with Kevin Coleman Jr. contributing 10 catches for 126 yards. This passing attack efficiency will be a key weapon as they continue their homestand.

Balanced Ground Game with Big-Play Capability

Jamal Roberts rushed for 143 yards including a game-sealing 63-yard touchdown run. The combination of consistent rushing and explosive plays gives Missouri multiple ways to control games moving forward.

Home Field Advantage Continues

Missouri is now 2-0 and continues a six-game homestand against Louisiana next week. Playing at sold-out Faurot Field provides momentum and familiarity that should benefit them in the upcoming stretch of home games.