Week 6 • October 04, 2025, 04:00 PM UTC
1-3
MW
Power Rank: -6.7
31 FINAL 34
4-0
American
Power Rank: 0.7
Air Force covered by 7.5 | Game went Over by 15.5
Air Force @ Navy Preview

General Information

Week: Week 6
Kick Off (at stadium): 12:00 PM EDT
Stadium: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Capacity: 34,000
Elevation: 39 ft
HFA Rating: 2.4
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Navy -10.5
Total (O/U) 49.5
Expected Score AF 19.5 - 30.0 NAVY
Power Rank Implied Line Navy +7.4
Prediction Markets Navy 82% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Sunny

Sunny

31.8°F

Wind Chill: 24.8°F
Wind: 6.5 mph WSW
Gusts: 9.5 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 70%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Air Force (Away)

This Week: 1519.3 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 2565.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 10:00
Rest Days: 7

Navy (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 2165.1 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:00
Rest Days: 7

⚡ Line Value Calculator

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Betting Information
Current Line Navy -10.5
Total Points 49.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Air Force -6.7
Navy 0.7
✈️ Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 1519 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
🏟️ HFA: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Capacity 34,000
Elevation 39 ft
🌤️ Weather: Sunny
Temperature 31.8°F
Wind Speed 6.5 mph
Your Line Navy +7.4
💰 Implied Value --

College Football Lines - Factors and Insights

Navy

Blake Horvath's dual-threat excellence

Horvath was highly efficient through the air (6/8, 168 yards) with a 63-yard TD pass and effective on the ground (72 yards, 2 TDs). His ability to execute both aspects of Navy's offense makes them dangerous and unpredictable for future opponents.

Dominant second-half defensive adjustments

Navy completely shut out UAB in the second half after allowing 24 first-half points, forcing three turnovers including two interceptions. This shows their ability to make halftime adjustments and suggests they can be trusted to cover spreads when trailing at halftime.

Ground game depth and power

Alex Tecza led rushing with 111 yards and scored the clinching TD, while Horvath added 72 yards. This two-headed rushing attack gives Navy multiple ways to control games and wear down defenses, especially important for their triple-option system.

Perfect conference start despite adversity

Navy improved to 2-0 overall and 1-0 in AAC play while dealing with two hour-long weather delays in the first half. Their ability to maintain focus and execute after long delays shows mental toughness that could be valuable in future close games.

Opportunistic defense creating short fields

The three forced turnovers, particularly the two interceptions of UAB's Jalen Kitna, gave Navy's offense excellent field position. This defensive playmaking ability could be crucial in tighter games where field position battles matter more.