Week 5 • September 27, 2025, 07:30 PM UTC
3-1
American
Power Rank: -16.5
13 FINAL 21
3-0
American
Power Rank: 0.5
Rice covered by 6.5 | Game went Under by 11.5
Rice @ Navy Preview

General Information

Week: Week 5
Kick Off (at stadium): 03:30 PM EDT
Stadium: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Capacity: 34,000
Elevation: 39 ft
HFA Rating: 2.4
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Navy -14.5
Total (O/U) 45.5
Expected Score RICE 15.5 - 30.0 NAVY
Power Rank Implied Line Navy +17.0
Prediction Markets Navy 84% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

28.4°F

Wind Chill: 20.0°F
Wind: 9.2 mph S
Gusts: 19.0 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 85%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Rice (Away)

This Week: 1251.5 miles
Last Week: 1875.8 miles
Season Total: 5119.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:30
Rest Days: 9

Navy (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 2165.1 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:30
Rest Days: 13

⚡ Line Value Calculator

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Betting Information
Current Line Navy -14.5
Total Points 45.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Rice -16.5
Navy 0.5
✈️ Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 1252 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Navy +4
🏟️ HFA: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Capacity 34,000
Elevation 39 ft
🌤️ Weather: Clear
Temperature 28.4°F
Wind Speed 9.2 mph
Your Line Navy +17.0
💰 Implied Value --

College Football Lines - Factors and Insights

Rice

Offensive Execution and Consistency Issues

Rice struggled with offensive execution from the start and failed to maintain momentum when they found it. Despite totaling 228 yards with a solid 177 rushing yards, they couldn't sustain drives effectively, managing only 9 points against Houston's defense.

Strong Early Defensive Performance Faded

The Owls' defense showed promise early, forcing five punts and a turnover on downs in Houston's first six drives. However, they collapsed in the second half, allowing Houston to score on four of their next five drives, highlighting potential conditioning or adjustment issues.

Quarterback Play Limitations

Chase Jenkins completed 10 of 12 passes but for only 50 yards, indicating a very conservative passing attack that may limit Rice's ability to compete against stronger opponents. The lack of explosive passing plays could be problematic moving forward.

Coaching Adjustments Needed

Coach Scott Abell acknowledged the team's failure to execute and make timely adjustments, taking responsibility for the loss. This suggests systemic issues that need addressing before facing Prairie View A&M, particularly in game management and in-game adaptations.

Ground Game Foundation to Build On

Rice showed a capable rushing attack with Daelen Alexander (55 yards) and Quinton Jackson (52 yards) combining for solid production. This ground game could be the foundation for future success if they can complement it with better passing and red zone execution.

Navy

Blake Horvath's dual-threat excellence

Horvath was highly efficient through the air (6/8, 168 yards) with a 63-yard TD pass and effective on the ground (72 yards, 2 TDs). His ability to execute both aspects of Navy's offense makes them dangerous and unpredictable for future opponents.

Dominant second-half defensive adjustments

Navy completely shut out UAB in the second half after allowing 24 first-half points, forcing three turnovers including two interceptions. This shows their ability to make halftime adjustments and suggests they can be trusted to cover spreads when trailing at halftime.

Ground game depth and power

Alex Tecza led rushing with 111 yards and scored the clinching TD, while Horvath added 72 yards. This two-headed rushing attack gives Navy multiple ways to control games and wear down defenses, especially important for their triple-option system.

Perfect conference start despite adversity

Navy improved to 2-0 overall and 1-0 in AAC play while dealing with two hour-long weather delays in the first half. Their ability to maintain focus and execute after long delays shows mental toughness that could be valuable in future close games.

Opportunistic defense creating short fields

The three forced turnovers, particularly the two interceptions of UAB's Jalen Kitna, gave Navy's offense excellent field position. This defensive playmaking ability could be crucial in tighter games where field position battles matter more.