Week 5 • September 27, 2025, 11:00 PM UTC
4-0
American
Power Rank: 7.3
55 FINAL 26
1-2
American
Power Rank: -13.7
Memphis covered by 15.5 | Game went Over by 19.5
Memphis @ Florida Atlantic Preview

General Information

Week: Week 5
Kick Off (at stadium): 07:00 PM EDT
Stadium: FAU Stadium
Capacity: 30,000
Elevation: 16 ft
HFA Rating: 2.2
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread Memphis -13.5
Total (O/U) 61.5
Expected Score MEM 37.5 - 24.0 FAU
Power Rank Implied Line Memphis +21.0
Prediction Markets Memphis 50% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

49.8°F

Wind Chill: 46.3°F
Wind: 8.3 mph NW
Gusts: 12.1 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 28%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Memphis (Away)

This Week: 840.7 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 2159.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:00
Rest Days: 7

Florida Atlantic (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 1869.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:00
Rest Days: 14

⚡ Line Value Calculator

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Betting Information
Current Line Memphis -13.5
Total Points 61.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Memphis 7.3
Florida Atlantic -13.7
✈️ Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 841 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Florida Atlantic +7
🏟️ HFA: FAU Stadium
Capacity 30,000
Elevation 16 ft
🌤️ Weather: Clear
Temperature 49.8°F
Wind Speed 8.3 mph
Your Line Florida Atlantic -21.0
💰 Implied Value --

College Football Lines - Factors and Insights

Memphis

Strong Second Half Adjustments and Control

Memphis demonstrated excellent halftime adjustments, outscoring Georgia State 21-0 in the second half after leading just 17-16 at halftime. The Tigers controlled the game with methodical drives, including two long touchdown drives in the third quarter that each took significant time off the clock (5+ minutes each), showing their ability to wear down opponents.

Makari Bodiford Emerging as Key Offensive Weapon

Bodiford had a standout performance with two rushing touchdowns, including scores from both 7 yards and 1 yard out. His ability to punch in short-yardage touchdowns and contribute to sustained drives makes him a reliable red zone threat that opposing defenses will need to account for.

DeMarco Ward's Defensive Playmaking Streak

Ward recorded his second pick-6 in as many games with a 31-yard interception return for touchdown, establishing himself as a game-changing defensive back. This consistent big-play ability from the secondary provides Memphis with a defensive weapon that can quickly shift momentum and add points.

Improved Start to 2-0 Record

Memphis moved to 2-0 on the season with a convincing 22-point victory, showing they can pull away from opponents after competitive first halves. The Tigers' ability to close out games strong suggests good conditioning and coaching, which will be valuable as they face tougher competition.

Balanced Offensive Attack with Multiple Contributors

The Tigers showed offensive diversity with Brendon Lewis contributing a 5-yard rushing touchdown alongside Bodiford's two scores, and Sutton Smith also finding the end zone in the first half. This multi-faceted ground game gives Memphis multiple options and makes them harder to defend.