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Week 5 • September 27, 2025, 10:00 PM UTC
Liberty @ Old Dominion
1-3
CUSA
Power Rank: -8.8
7 FINAL 21
2-1
Sun Belt
Power Rank: 0.4
Liberty covered by 2.5 | Game went Under by 24.5
Liberty @ Old Dominion Preview

General Information

Week: Week 5
Kick Off (at stadium): 06:00 PM EDT
Stadium: S.B. Ballard Stadium
Capacity: 21,944
Elevation: 13 ft
HFA Rating: 2.8
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Old Dominion -16.5
Total (O/U) 52.5
Expected Score LIB 18.0 - 34.5 ODU
Power Rank Implied Line Old Dominion +9.2
Prediction Markets Liberty 50% Old Dominion 50% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Overcast

Overcast

25.5°F

Wind Chill: 15.7°F
Wind: 10.3 mph SW
Gusts: 18.9 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 92%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Liberty (Away)

This Week: 161.7 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 1780.7 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:00
Rest Days: 7

Old Dominion (Home)

This Week: 0.1 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 1615.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:00
Rest Days: 14

⚡ Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Old Dominion -16.5
Total Points 52.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Liberty -8.8
Old Dominion 0.4
✈️ Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 162 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Old Dominion +7
🏟️ HFA: S.B. Ballard Stadium
Capacity 21,944
Elevation 13 ft
🌤️ Weather: Overcast
Temperature 25.5°F
Wind Speed 10.3 mph
Your Line Old Dominion +9.2
💰 Implied Value --

College Football Lines - Factors and Insights

Liberty

Defensive struggles against the run

Liberty allowed 338 rushing yards to Jacksonville State, with Cam Cook alone accounting for 195 yards and 2 TDs. This represents a significant weakness that opposing teams will likely exploit, as the Flames showed they cannot stop a committed ground attack.

Turnover problems proving costly

Liberty committed two turnovers (fumble and interception) that Jacksonville State converted into 14 points in the first half. These mistakes directly contributed to falling behind early and having to play catch-up throughout the game.

Explosive offensive potential remains intact

Despite the loss, Liberty showed they can strike quickly with big plays, including a 52-yard rushing TD by Evan Dickens and a 62-yard passing TD from Ethan Vasko to Donte Lee Jr. QB Vasko threw for 335 yards on efficient 19-for-29 passing.

Fourth quarter resilience but not enough

Liberty scored two long touchdowns in the fourth quarter to keep the game within seven points, showing they don't give up easily. However, they couldn't complete the comeback, suggesting they may struggle when falling behind early against quality opponents.

Conference USA title defense off to rocky start

As defending CUSA champions, Liberty's 1-1 start with a loss to the other recent conference champion Jacksonville State puts early pressure on their title defense hopes and suggests the conference race will be highly competitive.