Week 4 • September 21, 2025, 12:00 AM UTC
Nicholls @ Texas State
0-0
FCS
Power Rank: -28.4
3 FINAL 35
2-1
Sun Belt
Power Rank: -4.8
Nicholls @ Texas State Preview

General Information

Week: Week 4
Kick Off (at stadium): 07:00 PM CDT
Stadium: Bobcat Stadium (TX)
Capacity: 27,149
Elevation: 600 ft
HFA Rating: 2.9
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Texas State -28.5
Total (O/U) -
Expected Score -
Power Rank Implied Line Texas State +23.6
Prediction Markets Texas State 50% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Partly Cloudy

Partly Cloudy

34.7°F

Wind Chill: 32.0°F
Wind: 3.1 mph S
Gusts: 6.4 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 37%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Nicholls (Away)

This Week: 427.6 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 1923.1 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:00
Rest Days: 15

Texas State (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 1719.7 miles
Season Total: 1813.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:00
Rest Days: 7

⚡ Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Texas State -28.5
Total Points --
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Nicholls -28.4
Texas State -4.8
✈️ Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 428 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Nicholls +8
🏟️ HFA: Bobcat Stadium (TX)
Capacity 27,149
Elevation 600 ft
🌤️ Weather: Partly Cloudy
Temperature 34.7°F
Wind Speed 3.1 mph
Your Line Texas State +23.6
💰 Implied Value --

College Football Lines - Factors and Insights

Nicholls

Offensive Struggles Against Power

Nicholls managed only 249 total yards of offense and went 4-of-11 on third down, struggling to sustain drives against Troy's physical defense. Quarterback Deuce Hogan was efficient (21-of-27) but generated limited big plays, and the run game was largely contained outside of a few moments.

Defensive Collapse in Fourth Quarter

After leading or being tied through three quarters, Nicholls' defense allowed 21 unanswered points in the fourth quarter. They gave up 272 rushing yards total, including several explosive plays late that turned a close game into a blowout.

Protection Issues Exposed

The offensive line allowed four sacks and eight tackles for loss, disrupting the Colonels' offensive rhythm and putting Hogan under consistent pressure. This will be a major area of concern moving forward.

Competitive for Three Quarters

Despite the final score, Nicholls was tied or ahead entering the fourth quarter against a strong Troy team. This shows the team can compete with FBS-level opponents for stretches, but needs to improve its finishing ability.

Need for Defensive Adjustments

The defense struggled mightily against the run, allowing 5.9 yards per carry. They'll need to shore up their front seven and improve tackling in space before facing another physical rushing attack.