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Week 4 • September 20, 2025, 07:30 PM UTC
Tulane @ Ole Miss
3-0
American
Power Rank: 3.6
10 FINAL 45
3-0
SEC
Power Rank: 21.7
Ole Miss covered by 23.5 | Game went Under by 6.5
Tulane @ Ole Miss Preview

General Information

Week: Week 4
Kick Off (at stadium): 02:30 PM CDT
Stadium: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Capacity: 24,000
Elevation: 472 ft
HFA Rating: 2.9
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread Ole Miss -11.5
Total (O/U) 61.5
Expected Score TULN 25.0 - 36.5 MISS
Power Rank Implied Line Ole Miss +18.1
Prediction Markets Ole Miss 81% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

34.3°F

Wind Chill: 28.9°F
Wind: 5.8 mph SW
Gusts: 12.3 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 74%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Tulane (Away)

This Week: 306.2 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 558.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:30
Rest Days: 6

Ole Miss (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 906.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:30
Rest Days: 7

⚡ Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Ole Miss -11.5
Total Points 61.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Tulane 3.6
Ole Miss 21.7
✈️ Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 306 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Ole Miss +1
🏟️ HFA: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Capacity 24,000
Elevation 472 ft
🌤️ Weather: Clear
Temperature 34.3°F
Wind Speed 5.8 mph
Your Line Ole Miss +18.1
💰 Implied Value --

College Football Lines - Factors and Insights

Tulane

Retzlaff's Dynamic Debut

Transfer QB Jake Retzlaff immediately energized the offense, accounting for 265 total yards (152 passing, 113 rushing) and 2 TDs in his first game. Despite six drops by receivers, his dual-threat ability and poise set a positive tone, though the passing game needs more consistency.

Dominant Defensive Performance

The defense forced five turnovers (4 INTs, 1 fumble) and held Northwestern to just 3 points. The secondary, led by Javion White's two interceptions, capitalized on Preston Stone's mistakes, and the front limited Northwestern to 76 net rushing yards, setting up short fields for the offense.

Emotional and Physical Edge

Coach Sumrall used perceived disrespect from Northwestern over uniforms to fuel a 'play for the city' mentality, connecting to the 2005 Katrina team. Combined with oppressive heat/humidity that wore down the Wildcats, Tulane leveraged home-field advantage for a physical, emotional win.

Ground Game Success

Tulane rushed for 268 yards, with Retzlaff's 69-yard TD run highlighting a attack that wore down Northwestern as the game progressed. This established offensive balance and controlled tempo, a strength to build on.

Areas for Improvement

Six dropped passes, including two in the end zone, limited scoring opportunities and kept the game closer than it could have been. Cleaning up receiver execution will be critical against tougher opponents like South Alabama next week.