Week 4 • September 20, 2025, 11:30 PM UTC
2-1
Big 12
Power Rank: 10.4
27 FINAL 24
2-1
Big 12
Power Rank: 9.2
Arizona State covered by 5.5 | Game went Under by 9.5
Arizona State @ Baylor Preview

General Information

Week: Week 4
Kick Off (at stadium): 06:30 PM CDT
Stadium: McLane Stadium
Capacity: 45,140
Elevation: 404 ft
HFA Rating: 2.4
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Baylor -2.5
Total (O/U) 60.5
Expected Score ASU 29.0 - 31.5 BAY
Power Rank Implied Line Arizona State +1.2
Prediction Markets Baylor 56% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

44.1°F

Wind Chill: 39.0°F
Wind: 9.2 mph SSW
Gusts: 19.5 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 84%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Arizona State (Away)

This Week: 874.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 3542.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 16:30
Rest Days: 6

Baylor (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 180.6 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:30
Rest Days: 7

⚡ Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Baylor -2.5
Total Points 60.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Arizona State 10.4
Baylor 9.2
✈️ Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 874 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Baylor +1
🏟️ HFA: McLane Stadium
Capacity 45,140
Elevation 404 ft
🌤️ Weather: Clear
Temperature 44.1°F
Wind Speed 9.2 mph
Your Line Baylor -1.2
💰 Implied Value --

College Football Lines - Factors and Insights

Baylor

Sawyer Robertson's Elite Quarterback Play

Robertson threw for 440 yards and 4 TDs, marking his third consecutive 400-yard passing game - making him only the fourth Big 12 QB in 15 years to accomplish this feat. Through two games, he has 850+ yards, 7 TDs, and 0 interceptions, putting him in rare company with only two other FBS quarterbacks since 2000.

Exceptional Clutch Performance and Mental Toughness

After trailing by 14 points with 8:38 left in regulation, Baylor scored twice in the final 5:23 to force overtime, then won in double OT. The team showed remarkable resilience after trailing by at least 10 points four different times, taking their only lead on the game-winning field goal.

Explosive Offensive Production

Baylor accumulated 601 total yards with multiple receivers having big games - Ashtyn Hawkins (10 catches, 145 yards), Josh Cameron (9 catches, 151 yards, 2 TDs), and Kobe Prentice (4 catches, 63 yards, 2 TDs). Bryson Washington added 115 rushing yards and 2 TDs, showing a balanced offensive attack.

Strong Bounce-Back Victory

This upset win over #17 SMU represents a significant rebound from their season-opening 38-24 loss to Auburn. The victory extends Baylor's dominance over SMU to 14 straight wins since 1986, demonstrating their ability to perform in rivalry situations.

Favorable Upcoming Schedule

Baylor faces FCS opponent Samford at home next week, providing an opportunity to build momentum and confidence after this emotional double-overtime victory. This should allow them to rest key players and continue developing their offensive rhythm.