Week 3 • September 13, 2025, 08:15 PM UTC
1-1
CUSA
Power Rank: -15.5
10 FINAL 27
1-1
SEC
Power Rank: 19.5
UTEP @ Texas Preview

General Information

Week: Week 3
Kick Off (at stadium): 03:15 PM CDT
Stadium: DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
Capacity: 100,119
Elevation: 574 ft
HFA Rating: 2.9
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Texas -41.5
Total (O/U) -
Expected Score -
Power Rank Implied Line Texas +35.0
Prediction Markets Texas 99% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

49.6°F

Wind Chill: 46.5°F
Wind: 7.6 mph SW
Gusts: 13.0 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 68%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

UTEP (Away)

This Week: 530.5 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 5631.7 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:15
Rest Days: 6

Texas (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 2133.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:15
Rest Days: 7

⚡ Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Texas -41.5
Total Points --
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
UTEP -15.5
Texas 19.5
✈️ Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 530 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Texas +1
🏟️ HFA: DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
Capacity 100,119
Elevation 574 ft
🌤️ Weather: Clear
Temperature 49.6°F
Wind Speed 7.6 mph
Your Line Texas +35.0
💰 Implied Value --

College Football Lines - Factors and Insights

UTEP

Defensive Pressure Shines Despite Loss

UTEP's defense recorded six sacks and 12 tackles for loss, forcing Utah State into five consecutive punts at one point. This disruptive performance kept the game within reach and is a positive sign for the unit's ability to pressure opponents moving forward.

Offensive Struggles in Critical Moments

The offense failed to capitalize on the defense's strong performance, managing only 16 points. The failed two-point conversion attempt after their late touchdown in the fourth quarter prevented them from closing the gap to a one-score game, highlighting execution issues in key situations.

Run Game Shows Potential

Asthen Emory's late 2-yard touchdown run was part of a ground attack that will need to be more consistent. Developing a reliable rushing offense to complement the defense will be crucial for controlling games and taking pressure off the passing attack.

Need for Faster Starts

UTEP found itself down 20-10 at halftime, forcing them to play from behind. Improving early-game execution on both sides of the ball to avoid early deficits will be a key focus heading into the next contest.

Defense Must Limit Big Plays

While the defense generated pressure, it also surrendered explosive touchdowns—a 58-yard run and a 52-yard pass—that proved decisive. Correcting these coverage and gap discipline breakdowns to prevent chunk plays will be essential for future success.

Texas

Offensive Struggles in Critical Moments

Texas's offense failed to capitalize on key opportunities, going 1-of-5 on fourth down and being stopped twice inside the Ohio State 10-yard line. Arch Manning was stuffed on a QB sneak at the 1-yard line in the third quarter, and a late red-zone pass was broken up, highlighting execution issues in high-leverage situations.

Arch Manning Contained for Three Quarters

Manning was largely neutralized by Ohio State's defense until the fourth quarter, finishing 17-of-30 for 170 yards, one touchdown, and one interception. He acknowledged needing to play better for Texas to win, as the Buckeyes' secondary and scheme limited big plays and forced him into inefficient passing.

Road Winning Streak Snapped

The loss ended Texas's 11-game winning streak in true road games, which included five victories against ranked opponents. This setback against a top-tier team on the road exposes vulnerabilities that must be addressed as they return home for their next game.

Self-Inflicted Mistakes

Manning and coach Steve Sarkisian pointed to self-inflicted errors as a key factor in the loss, including penalties and missed opportunities. The Longhorns' inability to sustain drives and convert in the red zone allowed Ohio State to control the game's tempo and outcome.

Defensive Performance Provides Hope

Despite the loss, Texas's defense kept the game within reach, holding Ohio State to 14 points and forcing a late three-and-out to give the offense a chance to tie. This defensive resilience will be crucial as they regroup for a more manageable opponent next week.