Week 3 • September 13, 2025, 04:00 PM UTC
2-0
American
Power Rank: 6.6
28 FINAL 7
1-1
Sun Belt
Power Rank: -7.3
Memphis covered by 15.5 | Game went Under by 15.5
Memphis @ Troy Preview

General Information

Week: Week 3
Kick Off (at stadium): 11:00 AM CDT
Stadium: Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)
Capacity: 61,831
Elevation: 548 ft
HFA Rating: 2.4
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Memphis -5.5
Total (O/U) 50.5
Expected Score MEM 28.0 - 22.5 TROY
Power Rank Implied Line Memphis +13.9
Prediction Markets Memphis 63% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Sunny

Sunny

41.9°F

Wind Chill: 37.9°F
Wind: 6.9 mph W
Gusts: 9.8 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 34%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Memphis (Away)

This Week: 326.2 miles
Last Week: 666.2 miles
Season Total: 992.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 11:00
Rest Days: 7

Troy (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 535.7 miles
Season Total: 1751.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 11:00
Rest Days: 7

⚡ Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Memphis -5.5
Total Points 50.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Memphis 6.6
Troy -7.3
✈️ Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 326 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
🏟️ HFA: Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)
Capacity 61,831
Elevation 548 ft
🌤️ Weather: Sunny
Temperature 41.9°F
Wind Speed 6.9 mph
Your Line Troy -13.9
💰 Implied Value --

College Football Lines - Factors and Insights

Memphis

Strong Second Half Adjustments and Control

Memphis demonstrated excellent halftime adjustments, outscoring Georgia State 21-0 in the second half after leading just 17-16 at halftime. The Tigers controlled the game with methodical drives, including two long touchdown drives in the third quarter that each took significant time off the clock (5+ minutes each), showing their ability to wear down opponents.

Makari Bodiford Emerging as Key Offensive Weapon

Bodiford had a standout performance with two rushing touchdowns, including scores from both 7 yards and 1 yard out. His ability to punch in short-yardage touchdowns and contribute to sustained drives makes him a reliable red zone threat that opposing defenses will need to account for.

DeMarco Ward's Defensive Playmaking Streak

Ward recorded his second pick-6 in as many games with a 31-yard interception return for touchdown, establishing himself as a game-changing defensive back. This consistent big-play ability from the secondary provides Memphis with a defensive weapon that can quickly shift momentum and add points.

Improved Start to 2-0 Record

Memphis moved to 2-0 on the season with a convincing 22-point victory, showing they can pull away from opponents after competitive first halves. The Tigers' ability to close out games strong suggests good conditioning and coaching, which will be valuable as they face tougher competition.

Balanced Offensive Attack with Multiple Contributors

The Tigers showed offensive diversity with Brendon Lewis contributing a 5-yard rushing touchdown alongside Bodiford's two scores, and Sutton Smith also finding the end zone in the first half. This multi-faceted ground game gives Memphis multiple options and makes them harder to defend.

Troy

Late-game offensive explosion

Troy scored 21 unanswered points in the fourth quarter to turn a close game into a comfortable win. Quarterback Goose Crowder accounted for three touchdowns (two passing, one rushing) in the final period, showing the offense can finish strong when needed.

Dominant rushing attack

The Trojans rushed for 272 yards, led by Tae Meadows' 186 yards and a touchdown. This ground game control wore down Nicholls and set up the late scoring surge, providing a reliable offensive foundation.

Defensive pressure and third-down success

Troy's defense recorded four sacks and eight tackles for loss, holding Nicholls to just 249 total yards and 4-of-11 on third-down conversions. This disruptive performance limited the Colonels' opportunities and kept the game within reach until the offense ignited.

Crowder's dual-threat capability

Goose Crowder accounted for four total touchdowns (three passing, one rushing) and showed he can impact the game both through the air and on the ground. His late-game execution will be a key asset moving forward.

Slow start needs addressing

Despite the strong finish, Troy trailed for much of the game and didn't take its first lead until the fourth quarter. The team will need to start faster against stronger opponents to avoid playing from behind.