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Week 3 • September 13, 2025, 04:00 PM UTC
Buffalo @ Kent State
1-1
MAC
Power Rank: -11.2
31 FINAL 28
1-1
MAC
Power Rank: -24.4
Kent State covered by 18.5 | Game went Over by 10.5
Buffalo @ Kent State Preview

General Information

Week: Week 3
Kick Off (at stadium): 12:00 PM EDT
Stadium: Dix Stadium
Capacity: 25,319
Elevation: 1063 ft
HFA Rating: 2.0
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Buffalo -21.5
Total (O/U) 48.5
Expected Score BUF 35.0 - 13.5 KENT
Power Rank Implied Line Buffalo +13.2
Prediction Markets Buffalo 94% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Moderate snow

Moderate snow

25.2°F

Wind Chill: 13.7°F
Wind: 13.4 mph SW
Gusts: 17.9 mph
Precipitation: 0.01"
Humidity: 95%
Rain Chance: 100%
Snow Chance: 100%

Travel & Rest

Buffalo (Away)

This Week: 183.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 1646.8 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:00
Rest Days: 7

Kent State (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 2483.1 miles
Season Total: 3264.7 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:00
Rest Days: 7

⚡ Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Buffalo -21.5
Total Points 48.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Buffalo -11.2
Kent State -24.4
✈️ Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 183 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
🏟️ HFA: Dix Stadium
Capacity 25,319
Elevation 1063 ft
🌤️ Weather: Moderate snow
Temperature 25.2°F
Wind Speed 13.4 mph
Your Line Kent State -13.2
💰 Implied Value --

College Football Lines - Factors and Insights

Buffalo

Explosive Offensive Performance Against Overmatched Opponent

Buffalo dominated with 503 total yards and 32 first downs against FCS Saint Francis, but this was against a significantly weaker opponent that managed only 126 total yards. The offensive explosion may not translate against stronger competition.

Ta'Quan Roberson Shows Dual-Threat Capability

Roberson accounted for 3 total touchdowns (2 rushing, 1 passing) including a 40-yard rushing score, demonstrating his ability to create plays with both his arm and legs. However, he was intercepted once and completed just 50% of his passes, showing room for improvement in accuracy.

Ground Game Finds Success with Multiple Contributors

Al-Jay Henderson led the rushing attack with 98 yards and 2 TDs on 24 carries, while Roberson and James McNeil Jr. also found the end zone on the ground. The balanced rushing attack could be key against tougher defenses going forward.

Special Teams and Defense Create Early Momentum

Connor Henderson's blocked punt in the first minute set up the opening touchdown, and the defense completely shut down Saint Francis' ground game (11 yards). The early momentum and defensive dominance helped establish a commanding 24-0 halftime lead.

Bounce-Back Win After Season Opener

Buffalo improved to 1-1 with this dominant performance, suggesting they learned from their season-opening loss. The comprehensive nature of the victory across all phases should provide confidence heading into their next matchup against stronger competition.