Week 14 • November 30, 2025, 12:00 AM UTC
5-6
American
Power Rank: -12.5
3 FINAL 52
8-3
American
Power Rank: 12.6
South Florida covered by 21.5 | Game went Under by 4.5
Rice @ South Florida Preview

General Information

Week: Week 14
Kick Off (at stadium): 07:00 PM EST
Stadium: Raymond James Stadium
Capacity: 69,218
Elevation: 72 ft
HFA Rating: 2.4
Playing Surface: Unknown

Betting Information

Spread South Florida -27.5
Total (O/U) 59.5
Expected Score RICE 16.0 - 43.5 USF
Power Rank Implied Line South Florida +25.1
Prediction Markets South Florida 97% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

38.4°F

Wind Chill: 31.3°F
Wind: 10.5 mph NNE
Gusts: 15.7 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 40%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Rice (Away)

This Week: 791.3 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 7534.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:00
Rest Days: 8

South Florida (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 920.4 miles
Season Total: 6420.9 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:00
Rest Days: 8

⚡ Line Value Calculator

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Betting Information
Current Line South Florida -27.5
Total Points 59.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Rice -12.5
South Florida 12.6
✈️ Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 791 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
🏟️ HFA: Raymond James Stadium
Capacity 69,218
Elevation 72 ft
🌤️ Weather: Clear
Temperature 38.4°F
Wind Speed 10.5 mph
Your Line South Florida +25.1
💰 Implied Value --

College Football Lines - Factors and Insights

Rice

Offensive Execution and Consistency Issues

Rice struggled with offensive execution from the start and failed to maintain momentum when they found it. Despite totaling 228 yards with a solid 177 rushing yards, they couldn't sustain drives effectively, managing only 9 points against Houston's defense.

Strong Early Defensive Performance Faded

The Owls' defense showed promise early, forcing five punts and a turnover on downs in Houston's first six drives. However, they collapsed in the second half, allowing Houston to score on four of their next five drives, highlighting potential conditioning or adjustment issues.

Quarterback Play Limitations

Chase Jenkins completed 10 of 12 passes but for only 50 yards, indicating a very conservative passing attack that may limit Rice's ability to compete against stronger opponents. The lack of explosive passing plays could be problematic moving forward.

Coaching Adjustments Needed

Coach Scott Abell acknowledged the team's failure to execute and make timely adjustments, taking responsibility for the loss. This suggests systemic issues that need addressing before facing Prairie View A&M, particularly in game management and in-game adaptations.

Ground Game Foundation to Build On

Rice showed a capable rushing attack with Daelen Alexander (55 yards) and Quinton Jackson (52 yards) combining for solid production. This ground game could be the foundation for future success if they can complement it with better passing and red zone execution.