Week 14 • November 29, 2025, 12:30 AM UTC
11-0
Big Ten
Power Rank: 32.2
56 FINAL 3
2-9
Big Ten
Power Rank: -0.1
Indiana covered by 24.5 | Game went Over by 4.5
Indiana @ Purdue Preview

General Information

Week: Week 14
Kick Off (at stadium): 07:30 PM EST
Stadium: Ross-Ade Stadium
Capacity: 61,441
Elevation: 663 ft
HFA Rating: 2.1
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread Indiana -28.5
Total (O/U) 54.5
Expected Score IU 41.5 - 13.0 PUR
Power Rank Implied Line Indiana +32.3
Prediction Markets Indiana 98% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Cloudy

Cloudy

17.8°F

Wind Chill: 4.5°F
Wind: 13.0 mph SSW
Gusts: 22.1 mph
Precipitation: 0.03"
Humidity: 88%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Indiana (Away)

This Week: 89.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 6508.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:30
Rest Days: 14

Purdue (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 5365.7 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:30
Rest Days: 14

⚡ Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Indiana -28.5
Total Points 54.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Indiana 32.2
Purdue -0.1
✈️ Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 89 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
🏟️ HFA: Ross-Ade Stadium
Capacity 61,441
Elevation 663 ft
🌤️ Weather: Cloudy
Temperature 17.8°F
Wind Speed 13.0 mph
Your Line Purdue -32.3
💰 Implied Value --

College Football Lines - Factors and Insights

Indiana

Quarterback Fernando Mendoza Shows Strong Command

Transfer QB Fernando Mendoza completed 18 of 25 passes for 245 yards and 4 TDs, demonstrating excellent chemistry with receiver Elijah Sarratt (3 TD catches). His efficient performance and ability to spread the ball around suggests Indiana has found stability at the quarterback position.

Dominant Performance Should Stabilize Ranking

After dropping from No. 20 to No. 23 following a closer-than-expected win over Old Dominion, this 56-9 blowout victory should help maintain or potentially improve their ranking. The convincing nature of the win addresses concerns from the previous week's performance.

Balanced Offensive Attack with Big-Play Capability

Indiana showed versatility with Lee Beebe Jr. rushing for 90 yards and Omar Cooper Jr.'s 75-yard end-around touchdown following a fumble recovery. The 593 total yards of offense demonstrates the team's ability to attack defenses multiple ways.

Clean Game Execution and Discipline

The Hoosiers committed zero turnovers and only three penalties while forcing turnovers, showing improved discipline and ball security compared to their previous outing. This level of execution will be crucial against stronger opponents.

Depth Development with Backup QB Success

Backup QB Alberto Mendoza (Fernando's brother) completed all 3 passes for 35 yards including his first career TD pass, showing the program is developing depth at key positions while maintaining high standards in garbage time.

Purdue

Strong rushing attack with Mockobee leading the way

Devin Mockobee rushed for 126 yards and two touchdowns, including his first multi-score game of his career. Coach Barry Odom emphasized they need to be a running team, and Mockobee's performance in the Wildcat formation shows Purdue has found a reliable ground game that will be crucial against tougher opponents like USC next week.

Defensive improvement after allowing early scores

While Purdue allowed 14 first-quarter points to an FCS opponent, the defense locked down afterward, limiting Southern Illinois to just a field goal over the final three quarters. The unit generated three sacks and seven tackles for loss, showing they can adjust and dominate after early struggles.

Historic coaching start sets positive momentum

Coach Barry Odom became the first Purdue coach to start 2-0 since 1916, doubling last season's win total already. This early success provides crucial confidence and momentum heading into a major test against USC, showing the program's dramatic turnaround from last year's 1-11 disaster.

Concerning early vulnerability against inferior competition

Purdue trailed an FCS opponent 14-7 in the first quarter, marking just the second time in school history they've trailed an FCS team. This slow start against a 22.5-point underdog raises questions about their readiness for Power 5 competition like USC next week.

Balanced offensive attack with multiple weapons

Ryan Browne threw two touchdown passes to different receivers (Armad Branch and Nitro Tuttle), showing Purdue has multiple offensive threats. The combination of Browne's passing and Mockobee's rushing gives them versatility that will be tested against USC's likely superior defense.