Week 14 • November 29, 2025, 05:00 PM UTC
8-3
Big 12
Power Rank: 9.8
31 FINAL 24
5-6
Big 12
Power Rank: 14.1
Houston covered by 9.5 | Game went Under by 6.5
Houston @ Baylor Preview

General Information

Week: Week 14
Kick Off (at stadium): 11:00 AM CST
Stadium: McLane Stadium
Capacity: 45,140
Elevation: 404 ft
HFA Rating: 2.4
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Baylor -2.5
Total (O/U) 61.5
Expected Score HOU 29.5 - 32.0 BAY
Power Rank Implied Line Baylor +4.3
Prediction Markets Baylor 56% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Sunny

Sunny

52.6°F

Wind Chill: 49.8°F
Wind: 8.9 mph SSW
Gusts: 15.0 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 54%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Houston (Away)

This Week: 164.5 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 8814.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 11:00
Rest Days: 7

Baylor (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 1627.9 miles
Season Total: 4361.8 miles
Body Clock Time: 11:00
Rest Days: 7

⚡ Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Baylor -2.5
Total Points 61.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Houston 9.8
Baylor 14.1
✈️ Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 165 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
🏟️ HFA: McLane Stadium
Capacity 45,140
Elevation 404 ft
🌤️ Weather: Sunny
Temperature 52.6°F
Wind Speed 8.9 mph
Your Line Baylor +4.3
💰 Implied Value --

College Football Lines - Factors and Insights

Houston

Dual-threat quarterback performance from Weigman

Conner Weigman showed versatility with 188 passing yards, 1 passing TD, and 1 rushing TD, including a crucial 74-yard touchdown pass to Stephon Johnson. His ability to hurt defenses both through the air and on the ground will be key against Colorado's defense.

Dean Connors emerges as explosive rushing threat

Transfer RB Dean Connors dominated with 132 yards and 2 TDs on just 13 carries, including explosive runs of 54 and 42 yards. His big-play ability and 'running through the smoke' mentality gives Houston a reliable ground game weapon moving forward.

Defense creates turnovers and pressure consistently

Houston's defense recorded 3 sacks, 8 tackles for loss, and forced 2 turnovers including a 37-yard pick-six by Will James. This defensive pressure and takeaway ability will be crucial against Colorado's potentially more explosive offense.

Slow offensive starts remain a concern

Despite the final score, Houston managed only a 7-3 halftime lead and struggled on their first six drives with five punts and a turnover on downs. Coach Fritz noted they didn't execute well early, which could be problematic against stronger opponents like Colorado.

Offensive weapons showing depth and potential

Beyond Connors and Weigman, players like Tanner Koziol (6 catches, 52 yards) contributed, and Coach Fritz expressed confidence in their receiver room and running back depth. This offensive versatility will be tested against Colorado's defense.

Baylor

Sawyer Robertson's Elite Quarterback Play

Robertson threw for 440 yards and 4 TDs, marking his third consecutive 400-yard passing game - making him only the fourth Big 12 QB in 15 years to accomplish this feat. Through two games, he has 850+ yards, 7 TDs, and 0 interceptions, putting him in rare company with only two other FBS quarterbacks since 2000.

Exceptional Clutch Performance and Mental Toughness

After trailing by 14 points with 8:38 left in regulation, Baylor scored twice in the final 5:23 to force overtime, then won in double OT. The team showed remarkable resilience after trailing by at least 10 points four different times, taking their only lead on the game-winning field goal.

Explosive Offensive Production

Baylor accumulated 601 total yards with multiple receivers having big games - Ashtyn Hawkins (10 catches, 145 yards), Josh Cameron (9 catches, 151 yards, 2 TDs), and Kobe Prentice (4 catches, 63 yards, 2 TDs). Bryson Washington added 115 rushing yards and 2 TDs, showing a balanced offensive attack.

Strong Bounce-Back Victory

This upset win over #17 SMU represents a significant rebound from their season-opening 38-24 loss to Auburn. The victory extends Baylor's dominance over SMU to 14 straight wins since 1986, demonstrating their ability to perform in rivalry situations.

Favorable Upcoming Schedule

Baylor faces FCS opponent Samford at home next week, providing an opportunity to build momentum and confidence after this emotional double-overtime victory. This should allow them to rest key players and continue developing their offensive rhythm.