Week 13 • November 23, 2025, 12:30 AM UTC
6-4
ACC
Power Rank: -1.1
10 FINAL 31
3-7
ACC
Power Rank: -1.7
Stanford covered by 23.5 | Game went Under by 8.5
California @ Stanford Preview

General Information

Week: Week 13
Kick Off (at stadium): 04:30 PM PST
Stadium: Stanford Stadium
Capacity: 50,424
Elevation: 46 ft
HFA Rating: 1.8
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread California -2.5
Total (O/U) 49.5
Expected Score CAL 26.0 - 23.5 STAN
Power Rank Implied Line California +0.6
Prediction Markets California 64% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

52.8°F

Wind Chill: 52.7°F
Wind: 3.1 mph SW
Gusts: 5.8 mph
Precipitation: 0.11"
Humidity: 75%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

California (Away)

This Week: 30.4 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 15746.9 miles
Body Clock Time: 16:30
Rest Days: 15

Stanford (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 28365.1 miles
Body Clock Time: 16:30
Rest Days: 15

⚡ Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line California -2.5
Total Points 49.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
California -1.1
Stanford -1.7
✈️ Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 30 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
🏟️ HFA: Stanford Stadium
Capacity 50,424
Elevation 46 ft
🌤️ Weather: Clear
Temperature 52.8°F
Wind Speed 3.1 mph
Your Line Stanford -0.6
💰 Implied Value --

College Football Lines - Factors and Insights

California

Kendrick Raphael emerges as featured back

Transfer RB Kendrick Raphael had a breakout performance with 131 rushing yards and a TD on 7.3 YPC, a massive improvement from his 37-yard debut. This establishes him as the primary ground threat and gives Cal a reliable rushing attack heading into tougher competition.

Dominant defensive performance against overmatched opponent

Cal's defense shut out Texas Southern from touchdowns for the first time since 2021, limiting them to 194 total yards and 3-of-14 on third downs. However, this came against an FCS opponent, so the true test of defensive improvement will come against Minnesota.

Freshman QB Sagapolutele shows steady development

True freshman QB Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele threw for 259 yards with one interception and added a rushing TD, building on his three-TD debut last week. His continued development will be crucial as Cal faces stronger competition in Big Ten play.

Perfect 2-0 start builds momentum but questions remain

Cal is 2-0 for the first time in recent memory, but coach Wilcox emphasized many areas need improvement despite the blowout win. The team's true capabilities will be tested against Minnesota, their first Power 4 opponent of the season.

Stanford

Offensive Line Struggles and Running Game Collapse

Stanford managed only 19 rushing yards on 0.8 yards per carry, with the offensive line allowing seven tackles for loss and losing 40 yards behind the line of scrimmage. This fundamental weakness in establishing a ground game severely limited their offensive capabilities and will be a major concern against Boston College.

Quarterback Turnover Issues Under Pressure

Ben Gulbranson threw two interceptions and was stripped on a sack, contributing to three total turnovers. The inability to protect the football while facing defensive pressure indicates ongoing issues with decision-making and pocket presence that must be addressed.

Third Down Conversion Crisis

Stanford converted only 2 of 13 third down attempts (15.4%), demonstrating a critical inability to sustain drives. This poor conversion rate, combined with only 12 first downs total, shows the offense lacks the consistency needed to compete effectively.

Red Zone and Scoring Drought

The Cardinal managed only 3 points and crossed midfield just once in the first three quarters, showing a complete inability to threaten offensively. This lack of scoring production puts enormous pressure on the defense and creates difficult game situations.

Balanced Offense Development Needed

Interim coach Frank Reich emphasized the need for a balanced offense to win games, acknowledging the team's current one-dimensional struggles. With 161 total yards of offense, Stanford must find ways to establish both running and passing attacks to be competitive going forward.