Week 13 • November 23, 2025, 01:00 AM UTC
9-1
Big 12
Power Rank: 20.3
26 FINAL 14
7-3
Big 12
Power Rank: 13.5
BYU covered by 9.5 | Game went Under by 13.5
BYU @ Cincinnati Preview

General Information

Week: Week 13
Kick Off (at stadium): 08:00 PM EST
Stadium: Nippert Stadium
Capacity: 38,088
Elevation: 778 ft
HFA Rating: 2.5
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread BYU -2.5
Total (O/U) 53.5
Expected Score BYU 28.0 - 25.5 CIN
Power Rank Implied Line BYU +6.8
Prediction Markets BYU 59% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Mist

Mist

11.3°F

Wind Chill: 2.6°F
Wind: 4.9 mph SSW
Gusts: 10.3 mph
Precipitation: 0.02"
Humidity: 95%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

BYU (Away)

This Week: 1442.8 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 10318.4 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:00
Rest Days: 8

Cincinnati (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 8250.6 miles
Body Clock Time: 20:00
Rest Days: 8

⚡ Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line BYU -2.5
Total Points 53.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
BYU 20.3
Cincinnati 13.5
✈️ Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 1443 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
🏟️ HFA: Nippert Stadium
Capacity 38,088
Elevation 778 ft
🌤️ Weather: Mist
Temperature 11.3°F
Wind Speed 4.9 mph
Your Line Cincinnati -6.8
💰 Implied Value --

College Football Lines - Factors and Insights

BYU

LJ Martin's Historic Performance Establishes Elite Ground Game

Martin's career-high 222 rushing yards (8th-most in school history) with two touchdowns demonstrates BYU has a dominant rushing attack. This was his 6th 100-yard game this season, showing consistent production that opposing defenses must account for heavily in game planning.

Big 12 Championship Hopes Remain Alive Despite Missing Clinch Opportunity

At 10-1 overall and 7-1 in Big 12 play, BYU kept their title game hopes alive but couldn't clinch due to Arizona State's win over Colorado. They still control their destiny but face pressure in remaining games, particularly against UCF next week.

Defense Peaks at Right Time with Dominant Run Stopping

BYU held Cincinnati to just 87 rushing yards, their lowest total since December 2022, against a team averaging 194 yards per game on the ground. Coach Sitake noted the defense is 'peaking at the right time' heading into crucial final games.

Freshman QB Bachmeier Continues Red Zone Excellence

Bear Bachmeier's 6-yard rushing touchdown gives him 11 rushing TDs, tying for second-most by a freshman in program history. His dual-threat ability in short-yardage situations provides BYU with reliable scoring options near the goal line.

Team Philosophy Focused on Winning Over Style Points

Despite being ranked 11th in CFP rankings, BYU players emphasize winning games over impressing committees. Martin's quote 'If we win, we'll be in' reflects the team's mindset heading into the final stretch, suggesting they won't change their approach for style points.

Cincinnati

Quarterback Brendan Sorsby Shows Dual-Threat Capability

Sorsby threw for 333 yards and three touchdowns while also rushing for another score, including a crucial 27-yard rushing touchdown late in the third quarter. His ability to both pass effectively and create plays with his legs gives Cincinnati a dynamic offensive weapon that should be a key factor in upcoming games.

Passing Game Finds Its Rhythm After Early Season Questions

Coach Scott Satterfield noted there were 'a lot of questions about throwing the ball' coming into the game, but Sorsby and the receivers answered those concerns with strong performances. Cyrus Allen caught two touchdown passes, and the team showed good yards-after-catch ability, suggesting the aerial attack is developing well.

Defensive Concerns with Star Player Donte Corleone's Injury

Two-time All-American nose tackle Donte Corleone left the game twice, first to have his ankle taped and then permanently in the second quarter. While coach Satterfield believes he'll be fine, losing their defensive anchor even temporarily could be problematic against stronger opponents.

Team Breaks Historical Losing Streak Against Bowling Green

Cincinnati was 0-4 all-time against Bowling Green before this game, including a 38-0 shutout loss in 1994. Breaking this streak with a convincing 34-20 victory should provide confidence boost and momentum heading into their next home game against Northwestern State.

Balanced Offensive Attack Creates Multiple Scoring Threats

The Bearcats showed they can score through various methods - short passing game, deep throws to Allen (44-yard TD), and rushing touchdowns from Sorsby. This offensive versatility, combined with effective yards-after-catch from receivers, makes them difficult to defend and bodes well for future matchups.