Week 13 • November 22, 2025, 08:00 PM UTC
3-7
CUSA
Power Rank: -16.8
34 FINAL 31
2-8
CUSA
Power Rank: -11.4
New Mexico State covered by 6.5 | Game went Over by 19.5
New Mexico State @ UTEP Preview

General Information

Week: Week 13
Kick Off (at stadium): 01:00 PM MST
Stadium: Sun Bowl
Capacity: 51,500
Elevation: 3904 ft
HFA Rating: 2.4
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread UTEP -3.5
Total (O/U) 45.5
Expected Score NMSU 21.0 - 24.5 UTEP
Power Rank Implied Line UTEP +5.4
Prediction Markets UTEP 61% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

53.5°F

Wind Chill: 53.9°F
Wind: 2.7 mph ESE
Gusts: 4.1 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 35%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

New Mexico State (Away)

This Week: 37.5 miles
Last Week: 2658.1 miles
Season Total: 10320.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 13:00
Rest Days: 7

UTEP (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 1682.8 miles
Season Total: 11765.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 13:00
Rest Days: 7

⚡ Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line UTEP -3.5
Total Points 45.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
New Mexico State -16.8
UTEP -11.4
✈️ Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 37 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
🏟️ HFA: Sun Bowl
Capacity 51,500
Elevation 3904 ft
🌤️ Weather: Clear
Temperature 53.5°F
Wind Speed 2.7 mph
Your Line UTEP +5.4
💰 Implied Value --

College Football Lines - Factors and Insights

UTEP

Defensive Pressure Shines Despite Loss

UTEP's defense recorded six sacks and 12 tackles for loss, forcing Utah State into five consecutive punts at one point. This disruptive performance kept the game within reach and is a positive sign for the unit's ability to pressure opponents moving forward.

Offensive Struggles in Critical Moments

The offense failed to capitalize on the defense's strong performance, managing only 16 points. The failed two-point conversion attempt after their late touchdown in the fourth quarter prevented them from closing the gap to a one-score game, highlighting execution issues in key situations.

Run Game Shows Potential

Asthen Emory's late 2-yard touchdown run was part of a ground attack that will need to be more consistent. Developing a reliable rushing offense to complement the defense will be crucial for controlling games and taking pressure off the passing attack.

Need for Faster Starts

UTEP found itself down 20-10 at halftime, forcing them to play from behind. Improving early-game execution on both sides of the ball to avoid early deficits will be a key focus heading into the next contest.

Defense Must Limit Big Plays

While the defense generated pressure, it also surrendered explosive touchdowns—a 58-yard run and a 52-yard pass—that proved decisive. Correcting these coverage and gap discipline breakdowns to prevent chunk plays will be essential for future success.