Week 13 • November 22, 2025, 08:30 PM UTC
3-7
Big Ten
Power Rank: 5.3
17 FINAL 20
6-4
Big Ten
Power Rank: 19.3
Michigan State covered by 13.5 | Game went Under by 5.5
Michigan State @ Iowa Preview

General Information

Week: Week 13
Kick Off (at stadium): 02:30 PM CST
Stadium: Kinnick Stadium
Capacity: 69,250
Elevation: 722 ft
HFA Rating: 2.7
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Iowa -16.5
Total (O/U) 42.5
Expected Score MSU 13.0 - 29.5 IOWA
Power Rank Implied Line Iowa +14.0
Prediction Markets Iowa 89% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

18.9°F

Wind Chill: 7.6°F
Wind: 9.8 mph NNW
Gusts: 15.4 mph
Precipitation: 0.01"
Humidity: 86%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Michigan State (Away)

This Week: 370.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 7108.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:30
Rest Days: 7

Iowa (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 3093.8 miles
Season Total: 5944.9 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:30
Rest Days: 7

⚡ Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Iowa -16.5
Total Points 42.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Michigan State 5.3
Iowa 19.3
✈️ Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 370 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
🏟️ HFA: Kinnick Stadium
Capacity 69,250
Elevation 722 ft
🌤️ Weather: Clear
Temperature 18.9°F
Wind Speed 9.8 mph
Your Line Iowa +14.0
💰 Implied Value --

College Football Lines - Factors and Insights

Iowa

Quarterback Struggles Continue

Mark Gronowski is still adjusting as the South Dakota State transfer, completing just 13 of 24 passes for only 83 yards. Through two games, he's 21 of 39 for 127 yards and one touchdown, indicating significant concerns about the passing game's effectiveness moving forward.

Offensive Execution Issues in Key Moments

Iowa failed to capitalize on several scoring opportunities and turned the ball over on downs on their final possession after being sacked twice. The team managed only 13 points despite having chances to win, suggesting red zone and clutch situation problems.

Ground Game Shows Promise

Jaziun Patterson led the rushing attack with 60 yards on 11 carries, and the team successfully executed an 85-yard, 16-play drive for a touchdown. The running game appears to be the most reliable offensive weapon.

Defensive Competitiveness Against Quality Opposition

Iowa's defense kept them in the game against a ranked opponent, allowing only 16 points and forcing the game to be decided by a long field goal. This suggests the defense can keep games close even when the offense struggles.

Favorable Matchup Ahead

Iowa hosts UMass next week, which should provide an opportunity to build confidence and work out offensive kinks against a likely overmatched opponent before facing tougher Big Ten competition.