Week 13 • November 22, 2025, 07:30 PM UTC
5-5
Sun Belt
Power Rank: -6.1
24 FINAL 26
4-6
Sun Belt
Power Rank: -8.7
App State covered by 6.5 | Game went Under by 4.5
Marshall @ App State Preview

General Information

Week: Week 13
Kick Off (at stadium): 02:30 PM EST
Stadium: Kidd Brewer Stadium
Capacity: 30,000
Elevation: 3301 ft
HFA Rating: 2.6
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Marshall -4.5
Total (O/U) 54.5
Expected Score MRSH 29.5 - 25.0 APP
Power Rank Implied Line Marshall +2.6
Prediction Markets Marshall 67% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Light freezing rain

Light freezing rain

19.0°F

Wind Chill: 12.2°F
Wind: 4.5 mph NW
Gusts: 9.4 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 92%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 63%

Travel & Rest

Marshall (Away)

This Week: 158.0 miles
Last Week: 683.1 miles
Season Total: 4349.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:30
Rest Days: 7

App State (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 435.8 miles
Season Total: 6549.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:30
Rest Days: 7

⚡ Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Marshall -4.5
Total Points 54.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Marshall -6.1
App State -8.7
✈️ Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 158 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
🏟️ HFA: Kidd Brewer Stadium
Capacity 30,000
Elevation 3301 ft
🌤️ Weather: Light freezing rain
Temperature 19.0°F
Wind Speed 4.5 mph
Your Line App State -2.6
💰 Implied Value --

College Football Lines - Factors and Insights

Marshall

Offensive struggles in crucial moments

Marshall managed only -5 yards on their final four plays when they needed a score to win, showing concerning issues with execution under pressure. This inability to move the ball when it mattered most suggests potential problems with play-calling or offensive line protection in clutch situations.

Strong early offensive production

The Thundering Herd put up 20 points through three quarters with balanced scoring including rushing touchdowns from Zion Turner (14 yards) and Justin Williams Thomas (37 yards), plus reliable kicking from Lorcan Quinn (50 and 33-yard field goals). This shows the offense can move the ball effectively when not under late-game pressure.

Defensive vulnerability to big plays

Marshall allowed three explosive passing plays including touchdown passes of 57 yards and 52 yards, plus the game-winning 8-yard score. The defense's inability to prevent big plays, particularly through the air against Missouri State's 359 passing yards, indicates potential issues in secondary coverage.

Home field advantage concerns

The loss ended Marshall's impressive nine-game home winning streak and 15th consecutive home opener victory, suggesting the team may be struggling to maintain the intensity and execution that made them dominant at home. This could impact confidence and crowd support going forward.

Early season winless record pressure

Starting 0-2 puts Marshall in an early hole that will require immediate improvement to avoid falling behind in conference play. The team needs to quickly address the late-game execution issues that have now cost them in back-to-back games.