Week 13 • November 22, 2025, 06:00 PM UTC
5-5
Big 12
Power Rank: 12.5
17 FINAL 41
7-3
Big 12
Power Rank: 10.1
Arizona covered by 17.5 | Game went Under by 4.5
Baylor @ Arizona Preview

General Information

Week: Week 13
Kick Off (at stadium): 11:00 AM MST
Stadium: Arizona Stadium
Capacity: 50,782
Elevation: 2438 ft
HFA Rating: 2.3
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Arizona -6.5
Total (O/U) 62.5
Expected Score BAY 28.0 - 34.5 ARIZ
Power Rank Implied Line Baylor +2.4
Prediction Markets Arizona 69% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

68.4°F

Feels Like: 68.3°F
Wind: 2.2 mph SW
Gusts: 3.1 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 28%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Baylor (Away)

This Week: 813.9 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 3547.8 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:00
Rest Days: 7

Arizona (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 3109.3 miles
Season Total: 8772.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 11:00
Rest Days: 7

⚡ Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Arizona -6.5
Total Points 62.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Baylor 12.5
Arizona 10.1
✈️ Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 814 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
🏟️ HFA: Arizona Stadium
Capacity 50,782
Elevation 2438 ft
🌤️ Weather: Clear
Temperature 68.4°F
Wind Speed 2.2 mph
Your Line Arizona -2.4
💰 Implied Value --

College Football Lines - Factors and Insights

Baylor

Sawyer Robertson's Elite Quarterback Play

Robertson threw for 440 yards and 4 TDs, marking his third consecutive 400-yard passing game - making him only the fourth Big 12 QB in 15 years to accomplish this feat. Through two games, he has 850+ yards, 7 TDs, and 0 interceptions, putting him in rare company with only two other FBS quarterbacks since 2000.

Exceptional Clutch Performance and Mental Toughness

After trailing by 14 points with 8:38 left in regulation, Baylor scored twice in the final 5:23 to force overtime, then won in double OT. The team showed remarkable resilience after trailing by at least 10 points four different times, taking their only lead on the game-winning field goal.

Explosive Offensive Production

Baylor accumulated 601 total yards with multiple receivers having big games - Ashtyn Hawkins (10 catches, 145 yards), Josh Cameron (9 catches, 151 yards, 2 TDs), and Kobe Prentice (4 catches, 63 yards, 2 TDs). Bryson Washington added 115 rushing yards and 2 TDs, showing a balanced offensive attack.

Strong Bounce-Back Victory

This upset win over #17 SMU represents a significant rebound from their season-opening 38-24 loss to Auburn. The victory extends Baylor's dominance over SMU to 14 straight wins since 1986, demonstrating their ability to perform in rivalry situations.

Favorable Upcoming Schedule

Baylor faces FCS opponent Samford at home next week, providing an opportunity to build momentum and confidence after this emotional double-overtime victory. This should allow them to rest key players and continue developing their offensive rhythm.

Arizona

Defensive Transformation in Second Half

Arizona's defense completely shut down Baylor's high-powered passing offense in the second half, holding them to just 40 yards passing and 3.6 yards per play. This defensive turnaround, forcing five straight turnovers including three in the fourth quarter, demonstrates the team's ability to make crucial halftime adjustments and could be a key factor in their upcoming rivalry game.

Fourth Quarter Dominance and Momentum

The Wildcats scored 20 points in just over four minutes during the fourth quarter, showcasing their ability to capitalize on momentum shifts and close out games decisively. This explosive finishing ability will be crucial against a ranked Arizona State team in their season finale.

Kedrick Reescano's Ground Game Impact

Reescano's three rushing touchdowns, including key scores in the third and fourth quarters, provided Arizona with a reliable red zone threat and helped control the game's tempo. His ability to find big holes and finish drives will be essential against Arizona State's defense.

Four-Game Winning Streak Momentum

Arizona extended their winning streak to four games, improving to 8-3 overall and 5-3 in Big 12 play. This sustained success and confidence boost heading into the rivalry game against ranked Arizona State could provide significant psychological advantages in what will likely be a high-stakes matchup.

Senior Leadership and Home Field Advantage

Senior safety Dalton Johnson's 18-tackle performance in his final home game exemplifies the veteran leadership that has driven Arizona's late-season surge. However, they'll need to replicate this intensity on the road against Arizona State without the benefit of home crowd support.