Week 13 • November 22, 2025, 08:30 PM UTC
2-8
SEC
Power Rank: 11.8
37 FINAL 52
7-3
SEC
Power Rank: 22.9
Texas covered by 4.5 | Game went Over by 38.5
Arkansas @ Texas Preview

General Information

Week: Week 13
Kick Off (at stadium): 02:30 PM CST
Stadium: DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
Capacity: 100,119
Elevation: 574 ft
HFA Rating: 2.9
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Texas -10.5
Total (O/U) 50.5
Expected Score ARK 20.0 - 30.5 TEX
Power Rank Implied Line Texas +11.1
Prediction Markets Texas 77% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

49.6°F

Wind Chill: 46.5°F
Wind: 7.6 mph SW
Gusts: 13.0 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 68%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Arkansas (Away)

This Week: 448.6 miles
Last Week: 853.1 miles
Season Total: 3516.4 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:30
Rest Days: 7

Texas (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 1756.4 miles
Season Total: 9086.4 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:30
Rest Days: 7

⚡ Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Texas -10.5
Total Points 50.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Arkansas 11.8
Texas 22.9
✈️ Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 449 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
🏟️ HFA: DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
Capacity 100,119
Elevation 574 ft
🌤️ Weather: Clear
Temperature 49.6°F
Wind Speed 7.6 mph
Your Line Texas +11.1
💰 Implied Value --

College Football Lines - Factors and Insights

Arkansas

Nine-game losing streak continues with defensive collapse

Arkansas extended their losing streak to nine games in a 52-37 loss to Texas, marking another defensive breakdown where they allowed 52 points. The Razorbacks have now surrendered significant point totals consistently, indicating major defensive issues that will be problematic against Missouri's offense next week.

Second-half turnovers and inability to get stops

Arkansas was competitive in the first half, trailing only 24-20, but quarterback Taylen Green threw a crucial interception on their first possession of the second half that led to a Texas touchdown. Interim coach Bobby Petrino noted they 'couldn't get off the field' defensively in the second half, showing continued issues with closing out games.

Team attitude and leadership concerns emerging

For the first time this season, interim coach Bobby Petrino expressed concern about some players' attitudes not being where they need to be. This suggests potential locker room issues and lack of fight as the season winds down, which could impact their performance against ranked Missouri.

Offensive bright spots with Green and Washington

Despite the loss, Arkansas showed some offensive capability with touchdown runs from both quarterback Taylen Green and running back Mike Washington. The ability to keep pace early (20 points in first half) suggests the offense can move the ball, which may be crucial against Missouri's defense.

Winless in SEC play heading into final game

Arkansas remains 0-7 in SEC play and 2-9 overall, making them one of the worst teams in the conference. With only the Missouri game remaining, they face a ranked opponent while showing signs of a team that has mentally checked out, making an upset victory unlikely.

Texas

Offensive Struggles in Critical Moments

Texas's offense failed to capitalize on key opportunities, going 1-of-5 on fourth down and being stopped twice inside the Ohio State 10-yard line. Arch Manning was stuffed on a QB sneak at the 1-yard line in the third quarter, and a late red-zone pass was broken up, highlighting execution issues in high-leverage situations.

Arch Manning Contained for Three Quarters

Manning was largely neutralized by Ohio State's defense until the fourth quarter, finishing 17-of-30 for 170 yards, one touchdown, and one interception. He acknowledged needing to play better for Texas to win, as the Buckeyes' secondary and scheme limited big plays and forced him into inefficient passing.

Road Winning Streak Snapped

The loss ended Texas's 11-game winning streak in true road games, which included five victories against ranked opponents. This setback against a top-tier team on the road exposes vulnerabilities that must be addressed as they return home for their next game.

Self-Inflicted Mistakes

Manning and coach Steve Sarkisian pointed to self-inflicted errors as a key factor in the loss, including penalties and missed opportunities. The Longhorns' inability to sustain drives and convert in the red zone allowed Ohio State to control the game's tempo and outcome.

Defensive Performance Provides Hope

Despite the loss, Texas's defense kept the game within reach, holding Ohio State to 14 points and forcing a late three-and-out to give the offense a chance to tie. This defensive resilience will be crucial as they regroup for a more manageable opponent next week.